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Colts have easiest schedule the rest of the way

Posted Nov. 23 at 09:08 PM

I said it last week, and I’ll say it again. I think the Colts are the team to watch right now. They’re playing a lot better now than they were earlier in the season, and their schedule projects to be the easiest in the league from this point going forward.

Teams that could be setback by tough schedules in the final month of the season: Pittsburgh and Carolina.

When you balance how teams are playing, their current win-loss records, and what they’ve got left to play, the teams most likely to reach the Super Bowl (in my eyes) are the Giants, Jets and Colts.

Complete strength of schedule information (updated to include today’s games) appears below:

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE (weeks 13-16)
The Colts, Dolphins and Raiders project to play the easiest schedules over the next month, while the Steelers, Panthers and Lions project to play the hardest.

   W  L  T  Pct.  
   9  34  1  .216  Indianapolis
  12  32  0  .273  Miami
  16  28  0  .364  Oakland
  16  28  0  .364  Tennessee
  17  27  0  .386  NY Jets
  18  26  0  .409  St. Louis
  19  25  0  .432  Kansas City
  19  25  0  .432  San Diego
  20  24  0  .455  Minnesota
  20  24  0  .455  New England
  20  23  1  .466  Arizona
  20  22  0  .476  Chicago
  21  23  0  .477  New Orleans
  22  22  0  .500  Green Bay
  22  22  0  .500  San Francisco
  22  21  0  .512  Jacksonville
  22  21  0  .512  Houston
  23  21  0  .523  Denver
  23  21  0  .523  Buffalo
  23  20  1  .534  Baltimore
  23  20  0  .535  Atlanta
  23  19  2  .545  Cleveland
  24  20  0  .545  Seattle
  23  19  2  .545  Washington
  24  19  0  .558  Tampa Bay
  25  19  0  .568  Cincinnati
  27  17  0  .614  Dallas
  27  16  1  .625  NY Giants
  28  16  0  .636  Philadelphia
  28  15  0  .651  Detroit
  29  14  0  .674  Carolina
  31  13  0  .705  Pittsburgh


STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE (weeks 13-17)
Same as above, but also including week 17 (I omitted week 17 in the earlier chart, because most fantasy leagues are done at that time):

   W  L  T  Pct.  
  19  35  1  .355  Indianapolis
  20  35  0  .364  Miami
  20  34  1  .373  Kansas City
  22  33  0  .400  Green Bay
  22  32  1  .409  Arizona
  23  32  0  .418  NY Jets
  23  32  0  .418  Tennessee
  24  31  0  .436  Oakland
  24  29  0  .453  Chicago
  25  30  0  .455  St. Louis
  25  30  0  .455  San Diego
  25  29  0  .463  Atlanta
  26  29  0  .473  Cincinnati
  26  29  0  .473  New England
  26  27  2  .491  Washington
  27  28  0  .491  Denver
  27  27  1  .500  Baltimore
  27  27  0  .500  Tampa Bay
  28  26  0  .519  Houston
  29  26  0  .527  New Orleans
  29  26  0  .527  San Francisco
  29  25  0  .537  Jacksonville
  30  25  0  .545  Minnesota
  30  25  0  .545  Buffalo
  31  24  0  .564  Seattle
  31  22  2  .582  Cleveland
  32  22  1  .591  Dallas
  33  21  1  .609  NY Giants
  33  20  0  .623  Detroit
  35  20  0  .636  Philadelphia
  35  20  0  .636  Pittsburgh
  34  19  0  .642  Carolina


STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE (weeks 1-12)
This schedule shows which teams have played the easiest and hardest schedules so far, based on opponents’ combined win-loss record in other games. Cincinnati, Kansas City and Indianapolis have played the hardest schedules. The Bills, 49ers and Broncos have benefitted from playing the easiest schedules.

   W  L  T  Pct.  
  66  44  0  .600  Cincinnati
  62  47  0  .569  Kansas City
  61  48  0  .560  Indianapolis
  60  49  1  .550  Cleveland
  59  50  1  .541  St. Louis
  58  50  2  .536  Baltimore
  59  51  0  .536  Green Bay
  57  50  0  .533  Minnesota
  58  51  0  .532  San Diego
  58  52  0  .527  Arizona
  55  52  2  .514  Dallas
  56  53  0  .514  Oakland
  56  54  0  .509  Miami
  55  54  1  .505  Jacksonville
  55  55  0  .500  Philadelphia
  53  55  1  .491  Chicago
  53  55  1  .491  Seattle
  53  55  1  .491  Washington
  53  56  1  .486  Houston
  53  56  0  .486  Detroit
  53  57  0  .482  New England
  53  57  0  .482  New Orleans
  52  56  2  .482  NY Giants
  52  56  1  .482  Tennessee
  51  56  3  .477  Pittsburgh
  51  56  1  .477  Atlanta
  51  58  1  .468  NY Jets
  51  58  0  .468  Carolina
  50  58  0  .463  Tampa Bay
  47  62  0  .431  Denver
  46  62  1  .427  San Francisco
  43  67  0  .391  Buffalo

—Ian Allan

Readers' Comments

Posted by Richard Loppnow | Nov. 24 at 12:34 PM

A real football reason to omit Week 17 from the calculations is that, as of now, who knows who's gonna really be playing football that weekend, and who's gonna be running the backup squad out there. For instance, if Green Bay's not playing for anything that Sunday, maybe a motivated Lions team staves off perfect imperfection that afternoon.

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