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Below are the strength-of-schedule numbers for 2009, based not on wins and losses but on defenses – the combined average points allowed by opponents.
I’m not a big fan of this approach. Last spring, I looked at SOS numbers extensively and determined that the win/loss stuff is far more meaningful as a predictor of future performance.
Nevertheless, I’m not opposed to spending a few extra minutes to crank out all of the various different charts. Looks like three NFC West teams – Seattle, San Francisco and Arizona – project to have the easiest schedules. This is different from the win/loss chart, which was headlined by the three NFC North teams that will each play Detroit twice.
The hardest schedule projects to belong to the Dolphins, which is the same for the one based on wins and losses.
STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE FOR 2009
Based on average points per game allowed by opponents in the 2008 season.
PPG
23.8 Seattle
23.6 San Francisco
23.3 Arizona
23.3 Minnesota
23.3 St. Louis
23.2 Green Bay
23.1 Chicago
22.9 Washington
22.2 Baltimore
22.2 Tennessee
22.1 Indianapolis
22.1 Pittsburgh
22.1 Detroit
22.1 NY Giants
22.1 Oakland
22.0 Philadelphia
22.0 Jacksonville
21.8 Cincinnati
21.8 Cleveland
21.6 Houston
21.6 San Diego
21.6 Dallas
21.5 New Orleans
21.5 Kansas City
21.2 Tampa Bay
21.2 Buffalo
21.1 Carolina
21.1 Atlanta
21.0 New England
21.0 Denver
20.9 NY Jets
20.5 Miami
—Ian Allan
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Posted by JODY SMITH | Mar. 06 at 02:08 PM
I remember the work you put into that analysis last year. Despite it all, Pittsburgh, with it's brutal schedule, wins the whole show. Good luck repeating Miami.