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Fanex: Garrard vs. Manning

Posted May. 22 at 01:42 PM

For the better part of a day, I was hoping that Eli Manning would make it to draft spot 9.02, allowing me to pair him with Ben Roethlisberger. I don’t have a butt-kicker quarterback, but at least this would give me a one-two punch of capable guys.

The more I thought about it, however, the only reason I could think of to justify selecting Manning before David Garrard, however, was that his last name is Manning.

Garrard is one of the most mobile quarterbacks in the league. He’ll probably score 2-3 TDs on his own, and he’ll run for about 300 yards. In this scoring system, that’s like him getting a head start of 600 passing yards and 3-4 TD passes against Manning.

Garrard had a lousy year last season, and he still significantly outperformed Manning in this scoring system. Now, Garrard apppears to be in much better shape and has an improved offensive line, while Manning will have to work without Plaxico Burress. The Giants have a conservative scheme and run the ball really well, so I imagine Manning will throw for his typical 210 yards and 21-24 TDs. He’s not all of a sudden going to become another Peyton Manning; he’s a different quarterback in a different scheme.

I’ll also admit I have a soft spot for Garrard. He helped me win both the Fanex competitions last year – the May/June “Fanex Analysis Draft” (with no moves or starting lineups), and the more traditional 24-team Fanex League proper, which features trades, lineups and head-to-head play.


2009 FANEX ANALYSIS DRAFT

  1.01  RB  Adrian Peterson  Dolfi
  1.02  RB  Michael Turner  Cannon
  1.03  RB  Maurice Jones-Drew  Pitzer
  1.04  RB  LaDainian Tomlinson  Kellogg
  1.05  RB  Matt Forte  Davis
  1.06  RB  Steven Jackson  Cahill
  1.07  RB  Chris Johnson  Holm
  1.08  RB  Frank Gore  Hulett
  1.09  RB  DeAngelo Williams  O’Leary
  1.10  RB  Brian Westbrook  Rito
  1.11  WR  Larry Fitzgerald  Cannon
  1.12  RB  Steve Slaton  Harmon
  2.01  WR  Randy Moss  Harmon
  2.02  WR  Steve Smith  Allan
  2.03  WR  Andre Johnson  Rito
  2.04  RB  Clinton Portis  O’Leary
  2.05  RB  Darren McFadden  Hulett
  2.06  WR  Calvin Johnson  Holm
  2.07  RB  Brandon Jacobs  Cahill
  2.08  RB  Marion Barber  Davis
  2.09  QB  Tom Brady  Kellogg
  2.10  WR  Reggie Wayne  Pitzer
  2.11  WR  Wes Welker  Allan
  2.12  RB  Ronnie Brown  Dolfi
  3.01  WR  Roddy White  Dolfi
  3.02  QB  Drew Brees  Cannon
  3.03  RB  Ryan Grant  Pitzer
  3.04  WR  Terrell Owens  Kellogg
  3.05  QB  Peyton Manning  Cahill
  3.06  RB  Knowshon Moreno  Cannon
  3.07  WR  Greg Jennings  Hulett
  3.08  RB  Marshawn Lynch  O’Leary
  3.09  WR  Dwayne Bowe  Davis
  3.10  WR  Marques Colston  Rito
  3.11  RB  Reggie Bush  Allan
  3.12  RB  Derrick Ward  Harmon
  4.01  WR  T.J. Houshmandzadeh  Harmon
  4.02  WR  Anthony Gonzalez  Allan
  4.03  WR  Anquan Boldin  Rito
  4.04  TE  Antonio Gates  O’Leary
  4.05  WR  Brandon Marshall  Hulett
  4.06  RB  Kevin Smith  Holm
  4.07  RB  Larry Johnson  Cahill
  4.08  WR  Braylon Edwards  Davis
  4.09  RB  Beanie Wells  Kellogg
  4.10  WR  Roy Williams  Pitzer
  4.11  TE  Jason Witten  Holm
  4.12  RB  Julius Jones  Dolfi
  5.01  QB  Aaron Rodgers  Dolfi
  5.02  WR  Chad Ochocinco  Allan
  5.03  QB  Philip Rivers  Pitzer
  5.04  WR  Vincent Jackson  Kellogg
  5.05  WR  Santonio Holmes  Davis
  5.06  TE  Tony Gonzalez  Cahill
  5.07  RB  Pierre Thomas  Holm
  5.08  RB  Jonathan Stewart  Hulett
  5.09  QB  Jay Cutler  O’Leary
  5.10  QB  Kurt Warner  Rito
  5.11  RB  LenDale White  Allan
  5.12  QB  Tony Romo  Harmon
  6.01  RB  Thomas Jones  Harmon
  6.02  RB  Cedric Benson  Allan
  6.03  RB  Joseph Addai  Rito
  6.04  WR  DeSean Jackson  O'Leary
  6.05  QB  Matt Ryan  Hulett
  6.06  WR  Antonio Bryant  Holm
  6.07  WR  Eddie Royal  Cahill
  6.08  QB  Matt Schaub  Davis
  6.09  TE  Dallas Clark  Kellogg
  6.10  WR  Santana Moss  Pitzer
  6.11  WR  Jerricho Cotchery  Cannon
  6.12  WR  Lee Evans  Dolfi
  7.01  WR  Donnie Avery  Dolfi
  7.02  QB  Donovan McNabb  Holm
  7.03  RB  Jamal Lewis  Pitzer
  7.04  WR  Derrick Mason  Kellogg
  7.05  QB  Matt Cassel  Davis
  7.06  WR  Hines Ward  Cahill
  7.07  WR  Bernard Berrian  Holm
  7.08  WR  Devery Henderson  Hulett
  7.09  RB  Willie Parker  Rito
  7.10  QB  Ben Roethlisberger  Allan
  7.11  WR  Donald Driver  Harmon
  7.12  WR  Torry Holt  Harmon
  8.01  RB  Ray Rice  Allan
  8.02  TE  Owen Daniels  Rito
  8.03  WR  Steve Breaston  O'Leary
  8.04  WR  Kevin Walter  O'Leary
  8.05  WR  Laveranues Coles  Hulett
  8.06  RB  Willis McGahee  Holm
  8.07  WR  Michael Crabtree  Cahill
  8.08  WR  Lance Moore  Cannon
  8.09  WR  Steve Smith  Kellogg
  8.10  QB  Carson Palmer  Pitzer
  8.11  TE  John Carlson  Davis
  8.12  RB  Tim Hightower  Dolfi
  9.01  WR  Ted Ginn  Dolfi
  9.02  QB  David Garrard  Allan
  9.03  WR  Kevin Curtis  Pitzer
  9.04  RB  Donald Brown  Kellogg
  9.05  RB  Felix Jones  Davis


This draft can be followed at myfantasyleague.com.

To read the reasoning for each pick by each expert, click here.

Overview of rules: Each team drafts 20 players. Starts QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, TE, K, D and one flex player (RB-WR-TE). 6 points for TDs, 4 for TD passes, 1 for every 20 passing yards, 1 for every 10 run/rec yards, 1 for every reception. No free agent pickups – what you draft is what you get. No starting lineups – lineups tabulated via “best ball” methods. No head-to-head games; highest total points after 17 weeks is the winner.


-Ian Allan

Readers' Comments

Posted by JODY SMITH | May. 22 at 05:47 PM

Well you know you're getting 24 td's from Eli. You can win with that when you're strong everywhere else. I was going to suggest taking a flyer on Carson Palmer, but I see he went right before you got Garrard. I think you have a solid strategy with good logic. I've won plenty using the same one. You going to spend a late pick on a 3rd QB?

Posted by IAN ALLAN | May. 22 at 09:34 PM

Eli the last three years: 24, 23, 21 TDs. And that was with Plaxico. Now the top three receivers are a rookie, a third-down slot receiver and a guy who was cut by the Broncos. That team runs the ball really well. I think 23-24 TDs is the top end for Eli.

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