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Ian Allan


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Gonzalez / Colts / passing production

Posted May. 28 at 02:14 AM

I believe Anthony Gonzalez will be one of this year’s breakout players.

I’ve already selected him on both of the early-bird teams I’ve put together for experts league competitions. (I selected him in the fourth round of the Fanex draft, and I purchased him in a mock auction that will be discussed in the magazine).

Year in and year out, the Colts rank among the leaders in passing production, and now Gonzalez is going to be plugged into a full-time role in that offense. He’s been around for a couple of years, so he’s had a chance to learn their system – he’s ready to roll.

Below see the average passing production for each team over the last three years. I’ve got them in order of fantasy points, using the scoring system of 1 point for every 10 yards and 6 points for TDs.

TEAM PASSING PRODUCTION, 2006-2008
The passing yards figures are per-game. For touchdowns, it’s the average season total. And the fantasy points (“Pts”) is a per-game number based on 1 point for every 10 passing yards and 6 points for TDs.

  YPG  TDP  Pts  
  294  29.7  40.5  New Orleans
  266  30.0  37.9  Indianapolis
  255  32.0  37.5  New England
  271  26.7  37.1  Arizona
  257  30.3  37.1  Dallas
  258  26.0  35.6  Philadelphia
  259  25.3  35.4  Green Bay
  230  25.3  32.5  Pittsburgh
  221  26.7  32.1  San Diego
  235  22.0  31.8  Denver
  244  19.3  31.6  Detroit
  238  19.7  31.2  Houston
  216  24.7  30.9  Seattle
  227  21.7  30.8  Cincinnati
  232  18.0  30.0  St. Louis
  208  23.3  29.5  NY Giants
  216  20.7  29.4  Chicago
  212  20.0  28.7  Jacksonville
  211  19.3  28.3  Kansas City
  222  16.0  28.2  Miami
  212  18.0  28.0  NY Jets
  216  16.7  27.9  Tampa Bay
  210  17.0  27.4  Washington
  202  18.3  27.1  Atlanta
  201  18.3  27.0  Cleveland
  207  16.7  27.0  Baltimore
  202  17.7  26.8  Carolina
  194  17.3  25.9  San Francisco
  199  15.7  25.8  Minnesota
  192  15.0  24.8  Buffalo
  182  11.7  22.6  Tennessee
  175  12.3  22.1  Oakland


Readers' Comments

Posted by Joe Savitsky | May. 28 at 03:07 AM

I agree that Gonzalez is primed for a breakout season. Here is a look at the first two seasons for Reggie Wayne and Anthony Gonzalez: 1st year: Wayne, 2001: 13 games, 9 starts, 27 catches, 345 yards, 0 TDs Gonzalez 2007: 13 games, 9 starts, 37 catches 576 yards, 3 TDs 2nd year: Wayne, 2002: 16 games, 7 starts, 49-716-4 Gonzalez, 2008: 16 games, 2 starts, 57-664-4 Pretty similar, right? It gets better. Wayne was selected 30th overall; Gonzalez went 32nd overall. Wayne is 6'0, 198 lbs; Gonzalez is 6'0, 193 lbs. At the combine, Wayne ran a 4.45 40-yard dash; Gonzalez ran 4.44. Now that Harrison is gone, Gonzalez could easily become a perennial 80-1200-8 producer.

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