Ian Allan
I just finished going through my Thursday audit/revisions of the numbers, looking at every player on every team. (And the revised version of the draft board should be released any minute now).
My player projections are generated as percentages of team production. They’ve all got to tie together and add up. I don’t allow Philip Rivers to finish with 30 TD passes, but Antonio Gates, Chris Chambers, Vincent Jackson and San Diego’s other receivers to combine for 37 TD receptions. And if I project the Vikings to run for 20 TDs, that would put Adrian Peterson at 14 rushing TDs (since he’s projected to account for 70 percent of his team’s rushing scores).
Anyway, the overall team touchdown numbers are below – the expected team totals for all 16 games. Let me know which teams you think I’m missing the boat on.
TD
50.7 New England
45.8 New Orleans
45.6 Indianapolis
45.3 Green Bay
44.9 San Diego
42.6 Arizona
42.1 Pittsburgh
41.8 Minnesota
41.4 Dallas
41.3 Atlanta
40.6 NY Giants
40.5 Philadelphia
39.7 Carolina
38.6 Baltimore
36.8 Chicago
36.8 Houston
35.9 Tennessee
34.9 Cincinnati
34.5 Jacksonville
34.1 Miami
33.6 Seattle
32.5 Denver
31.7 Buffalo
31.4 Washington
31.3 San Francisco
31.0 NY Jets
30.4 Tampa Bay
29.1 Detroit
29.1 Oakland
28.2 Kansas City
28.0 Cleveland
28.0 St. Louis
—Ian Allan
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