Ian Allan
Week 14 is underway; the early games have started, and the bulk of your work (as a fantasy GM) is likely complete. So below, see a quick peek at what’s coming up in week 15.
The numbers presented here are a combination of offensive and defensive numbers – averaged to give a ballpark estimate of what to expect from each team. We took the last 10 games for each offense, averaged them against the last 10 games for each defense, and then converted them into fantasy numbers.
According to these numbers (which are strictly numbers – no opinion or analysis involved) the Patriots, Titans, Jets and Broncos project to put up the best rushing numbers in week 15. The Patriots and Broncos will surprise some, but they’re facing the Bills and Raiders, who have two of the worst defenses against the run.
The 49ers, Bucs, Steelers and Bills project to put up the worst rushing numbers next week (and this is on the scoring system of 6 points for TDs and 1 point for every 10 yards).
The Cardinals, Colts, Packers and Saints project to finish with the best passing numbers, while the Raiders, Falcons, Rams and Titans project to finish with the worst.
PROJECTED RUSHING PRODUCTION, WEEK 15
Based on an average of each offense versus each defense, based on how they have performed in their last 10 NFL games. Fantasy points based on 1 point for every 10 rushing yards and 6 points for each rushing TD.
Yds TDR Pts
157 1.40 24.1 New England
141 1.20 21.3 Tennessee
146 1.05 20.9 NY Jets
145 1.05 20.8 Denver
129 1.30 20.7 Miami
121 1.25 19.6 Houston
117 1.10 18.3 Atlanta
124 .90 17.8 Seattle
121 .95 17.8 Minnesota
117 1.00 17.7 Jacksonville
120 .95 17.7 New Orleans
122 .90 17.6 Dallas
118 .90 17.2 Baltimore
130 .70 17.2 Cleveland
126 .75 17.1 NY Giants
119 .75 16.4 Carolina
125 .60 16.1 Cincinnati
104 .90 15.8 Philadelphia
103 .85 15.4 Arizona
112 .70 15.4 St. Louis
99 .80 14.7 Indianapolis
117 .45 14.4 Kansas City
106 .60 14.2 Detroit
101 .65 14.0 Chicago
94 .75 13.9 Washington
110 .45 13.7 Oakland
106 .50 13.6 Green Bay
88 .75 13.3 San Diego
103 .45 13.0 Buffalo
102 .45 12.9 Pittsburgh
97 .45 12.4 Tampa Bay
89 .45 11.6 San Francisco
PROJECTED RECEIVING PRODUCTION, WEEK 15
Based on an average of each offense versus each defense, based on how they have performed in their last 10 NFL games. Fantasy points based on 1 point for every 10 passing yards and 6 points for each passing TD.
Yds TDP Pts
284 2.00 40.4 Arizona
275 2.00 39.5 Indianapolis
265 1.70 36.7 Green Bay
257 1.70 35.9 New Orleans
272 1.40 35.6 Philadelphia
258 1.55 35.1 Houston
257 1.55 35.0 Minnesota
261 1.40 34.5 Detroit
230 1.80 33.8 Pittsburgh
258 1.30 33.6 Dallas
232 1.70 33.4 Washington
245 1.45 33.2 San Diego
229 1.65 32.8 Tampa Bay
230 1.55 32.3 Miami
243 1.25 31.8 New England
221 1.60 31.7 San Francisco
231 1.40 31.5 Baltimore
228 1.45 31.5 NY Giants
220 1.55 31.3 Seattle
251 .95 30.8 Jacksonville
219 1.35 30.0 Kansas City
217 1.35 29.8 NY Jets
217 1.35 29.8 Cincinnati
221 1.25 29.6 Chicago
209 1.35 29.0 Cleveland
220 1.15 28.9 Carolina
223 1.10 28.9 Denver
207 1.30 28.5 Buffalo
222 .95 27.9 Tennessee
213 1.05 27.6 St. Louis
206 1.05 26.9 Atlanta
177 .85 22.8 Oakland
—Ian Allan
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Posted by MARTIN DONNELLY | Dec. 13 at 11:56 PM
I don't understand what you're saying. "...and Bills project to have the worst run defenses..." Don't you mean FACE the BEST run defense or, more accurately, YIELD the worst rushing points?
IAN: Yes. My bad. There was a typo in there. I've fixed it. The Bills (along with the 49ers, Bucs and Steelers) should put up the worst rushing numbers next week (according to the offense-defense averages).