Ian Allan
Below are some early numbers for week 16, based on how offenses and defenses have been playing. The numbers aren’t our opinions (which we’ll decide on later in the week) but instead simply fact – averages based on how teams have played in their last 10 games.
We tossed out the first three weeks of the season – figuring teams have changed so much we want to give more weight to what they’ve done recently. Then we combined the average for each offense against the defense it will face in week 16.
Following this system, the Falcons, Giants, Panthers and Cardinals project to put up the best rushing numbers. Washington, Kansas City, Chicago and Seattle project to put up the worst rushing numbers.
For passing, Green Bay, San Diego, New England and Minnesota project to compile the best passing numbers. (Keep in mind, however, that these averages don’t factor in weather, which could potentially be problematic for all four of those teams). The Browns, Jets, Falcons and Kansas City project to compile the worst passing numbers.
PROJECTED RUSHING PRODUCTION IN WEEK 16
Using the fantasy scoring system of 6 points for touchdowns and 1 point for every 10 yards. Figures calculated using the averages of offenses and defenses in their last 10 games:
Yds TDR Pts
152 1.30 23.0 Atlanta
137 1.15 20.6 NY Giants
129 1.25 20.4 Carolina
125 1.30 20.3 Arizona
148 .90 20.2 NY Jets
134 1.05 19.7 Cleveland
129 1.05 19.2 Minnesota
123 1.15 19.2 New Orleans
148 .70 19.0 Cincinnati
140 .80 18.8 Tennessee
117 1.10 18.3 Miami
106 1.15 17.5 Houston
114 .95 17.1 New England
114 .90 16.8 San Francisco
121 .70 16.3 Jacksonville
102 1.00 16.2 San Diego
114 .80 16.2 Tampa Bay
117 .65 15.6 Pittsburgh
119 .60 15.5 St. Louis
109 .75 15.4 Philadelphia
109 .75 15.4 Green Bay
110 .70 15.2 Buffalo
115 .60 15.1 Dallas
99 .85 15.0 Indianapolis
119 .50 14.9 Oakland
104 .75 14.9 Baltimore
98 .70 14.0 Detroit
106 .55 13.9 Denver
97 .55 13.0 Washington
93 .50 12.3 Kansas City
88 .45 11.5 Chicago
78 .45 10.5 Seattle
PROJECTED PASSING PRODUCTION IN WEEK 16
Using the fantasy scoring system of 6 points for touchdowns and 1 point for every 10 yards. Figures calculated using the averages of offenses and defenses in their last 10 games:
Yds TDP Pts
288 2.10 41.4 Green Bay
264 1.95 38.1 San Diego
269 1.85 38.0 New England
254 2.05 37.7 Minnesota
272 1.40 35.6 Houston
257 1.60 35.3 New Orleans
245 1.80 35.3 San Francisco
236 1.80 34.4 NY Giants
242 1.60 33.8 Arizona
241 1.55 33.4 Philadelphia
247 1.45 33.4 Dallas
240 1.45 32.7 Denver
239 1.45 32.6 Pittsburgh
231 1.55 32.4 Indianapolis
239 1.40 32.3 Chicago
233 1.40 31.7 Washington
225 1.50 31.5 Cincinnati
231 1.35 31.2 Jacksonville
244 1.05 30.7 Detroit
216 1.50 30.6 Seattle
221 1.40 30.5 Buffalo
213 1.40 29.7 Carolina
231 1.00 29.1 St. Louis
230 1.00 29.0 Baltimore
215 1.25 29.0 Tennessee
223 1.10 28.9 Tampa Bay
211 1.20 28.3 Miami
216 1.10 28.2 Oakland
211 1.00 27.1 Atlanta
204 1.05 26.7 Kansas City
203 1.05 26.6 NY Jets
193 1.00 25.3 Cleveland
—Ian Allan
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Posted by MARK CLURE | Dec. 22 at 03:35 AM
Interesting numbers-and a bit of an injury dilemma. I start 3 RB's with 1 pt per 10 yards and 7 pts per TD. I have Turner and Snelling, DeAngelo W and J Stewart. Those are the injury questions. Also have Benson and may be able to pick up Harrison. I'd appreciate your suggestions. Thanks in advance, Mark Clure