Ian Allan

Yesterday we announced James Serra of First Place Sports Software as the winner of Fantasy Football Index Experts Poll. He joins Bob Henry and Jon Millman as the only two-time winners of the competition.

We also, as part of the Experts Poll, keep track of overall career success, tabulating which experts tend to do the best over the years.

The poll has included various formats. In the early and mid ‘90s, we had 15 experts on our panel. Then it grew to 20 and even climbed up to 25 in some years. It’s been back down at 20 the last two years.

To track overall success, we’ve gone to a won-loss system. For each year, each expert is assigned wins and losses, showing how he did against the rest of the poll. Serra, for example, won this year’s poll, so for 2009, we’re giving him a record of 19 wins and no losses – he beat all of the other competitors. Christopher Harris of ESPN finished 2nd, so he gets a win-loss record of 18-1. Scott Pianowski (Yahoo! Sports) finished 3rd to go 17-2, and so on.

Using this system for every expert and every year, Pianowski is our current all-time leader. Add up all of his various years and he’s gone 149-42 against other experts. That’s just one game ahead of David Dorey (The Huddle), who’s 148-43.

The all-time stuff gets tricky to tabulate. Some guys switch jobs, and other companies using different guys in their analyst role. Bob Henry, for example, started with Red Eye Sports before moving over to Footballguys.com. So do we list those separately? Look at his individual numbers? Or blend his numbers with other guys who have competed under the Footballguys banner?

We decided to do both. So Pianowski (who’s competed for three different companies) appears an individual, and you also see some of his work combined with Chris Liss (who’s now making the picks for RotoWire.com.

Shown below are all active experts and companies with at least 50 games worth of action.

These rankings aren’t necessarily a big deal. With the way we’ve got the scoring set up, assigning points in varying degrees for every pick, experts are perhaps too heavily penalized when a player blows out a knee or simply doesn’t pan out – it can become almost a battle of attrition in years when there are a lot of injuries at quarterback and tailback.

But this is at least one way of looking at it. And for now, Pianowski, Dorey and Henry have had the most all-time success.



FANTASY INDEX EXPERTS POLL: ALL-TIME LEADERS
(50 games minimum)

  Win  Loss  Pct.  
  149    42  .780  Scott Pianowski (multiple companies)
  148    43  .775  David Dorey (The Huddle)
  121    46  .725  Bob Henry (Footballguys / Red Eye)
  137    54  .717  * Fantasy Football Champs (Jon Millman, Ian Millman, Bo Mitchell)
  139    71  .662  * Footballguys.com (Joe Bryant, Bob Henry)
  131    98  .572  Michael Nazarek (Fantasy Football Mastermind)
    76    58  .567  * KFFL (William Del Pilar, Cory Bonini)
  153  133  .535  James Serra (First Place Sports Software)
  100    91  .524  * RotoWire.com (Scott Pianowski, Chris Liss)
    63    71  .470  Chris Liss (RotoWire.com)
    97  132  .424  Lenny Pappano (Draft Sharks)
    94  135  .410  Jeffrey Kamys (Dr. Stats Fantasy Sports)
    23    39  .371  * Fanball.com (Bo Mitchell, Ryan Houston, Rick Hawes)
    35    75  .318  Nathan Zegura (The Fantasy Consultant)
    48  105  .314  Kevin Marshall (Draftwizard.com)
    19    43  .306  Scott Endsley (Fantasy Draft Edge)

* -- company listing (with various experts contributing)

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