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McNabb / Kolb -- passing accuracy

Posted Apr. 18 at 01:32 PM


Time will tell if the Eagles made the correct decision in dealing Donovan McNabb – particularly to a division rival. Kevin Kolb has started only two games as a pro.

But one area where I’m sure Kolb will be better than McNabb is accuracy on shorter throws. McNabb has been a solid quarterback and has won a lot of games. They’ve been to five NFC Championship games with him. But he’s never been a particularly accurate passer.

For his career, McNabb has completed only 59 percent. Only once in his career has he reached the 62 percent mark.

Kolb, on the other hand, completed almost 65 percent in his limited action last year (and I’ll grant that one of those games was against a really bad Kansas City defense, which hardly should even count). But Kolb makes quick decisions and gets the ball out of his hands.

At worst, I think Kolb will be similar to McNabb as a passer.

Below are the completion percentage figures for the last three years. McNabb should be in his prime here; early 30s and with a good receiving corps. Nevertheless, he’s still been below-average in terms of completion percentage.


COMPLETION PERCENTAGE, 2007-2009
Quarterbacks with at least 500 attempts:

   Att  Comp    Pct    
    810    551    68.0    Chad Pennington
  1801  1216    67.5    Drew Brees
  1154    776    67.2    Tom Brady
  1641  1101    67.1    Peyton Manning
  1252    839    67.0    Matt Schaub
  1588  1062    66.9    Brett Favre
  1562  1021    65.4    Kurt Warner
    703    453    64.4    Jeff Garcia
  1105    711    64.3    Aaron Rodgers
  1379    882    64.0    Ben Roethlisberger
  1424    906    63.6    Philip Rivers
  1520    958    63.0    Tony Romo
  1170    730    62.4    Carson Palmer
  1430    892    62.4    Jason Campbell
  1376    857    62.3    David Garrard
    681    423    62.1    Jon Kitna
  1638  1017    62.1    Jay Cutler
    927    572    61.7    Joe Flacco
    522    322    61.7    Shaun Hill
    826    506    61.3    Trent Edwards
    677    412    60.9    Vince Young
  1487    903    60.7    Donovan McNabb
  1086    651    59.9    Kyle Orton
  1259    754    59.9    Matt Hasselbeck
    885    528    59.7    Matt Ryan
  1517    903    59.5    Eli Manning
  1016    602    59.3    Matt Cassel
    821    479    58.3    Jake Delhomme
    599    348    58.1    Ryan Fitzpatrick
    713    411    57.6    Kerry Collins
  1065    612    57.5    Marc Bulger
    565    319    56.5    Alex Smith
    992    521    52.5    Derek Anderson
    680    354    52.1    JaMarcus Russell


—Ian Allan


Readers' Comments

Posted by DAVID DIGREGORIO | Apr. 18 at 11:52 PM

A strength of McNabb is the deep pass. If the skins don't upgrade their O line, McNabb will have a lot of trouble being effective. It's tough throwing when you on your back. however, with or without an O line upgrade, Kolb will be a more productive fantasy player this year than McNabb.

Posted by IAN ALLAN | Apr. 19 at 02:10 AM

I like Kolb a lot. I think he'll be better than McNabb. But I also think the move to Washington will be good for McNabb. Mike Shanahan is maybe the best coach at taking care of his quarterback. He'll use lots of bootlegs and rollouts, as well as an improved running game, to stop McNabb from getting killed. I was looking at John Elway's numbers a few days ago. Elway was sacked 46 times in 14 games in the final season pre-Shanahan. In his first season with Shanahan, he was sacked 22 times in 16 games. Shanahan won't let McNabb get beat up.

Posted by DAVID DIGREGORIO | Apr. 19 at 09:11 AM

McNabb competed 60.3% of his passes last year. In the two games he played, Kolb completed 64.7% of the passes he threw. With all of the reps, that percent should only climb. Ron Jaworski broke down the tapes and found that 41% of McNabb's passing yards were yac. In Kolb's two starts, 52% of his passing yards came from yac. He hits the recievers in stride. With a guy like Jackson, a ten yard pass that he catches in stride can easily become a bomb. Big big year for Kolb, and his recievers. Kolb will be a must have player in challeng games.

Posted by IAN ALLAN | Apr. 19 at 12:59 PM

I have no problem with ranking Kolb as a top-10 quarterback. I'm still working on my board; I'm not sure where he'll wind up. But let's not put too much weight in his two games from last year. One of those was a home game against Kansas City, which had no pass rush and maybe the league's worst pass defense at the time. So not particularly impressive, in my opinion, that Kolb completed 70 percent of his passes in that game. In his other game, against New Orleans, he threw 3 interceptions.

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