Fantasy Index Scheduletron -- strength-of-schedule analysis

Below are the strength-of-schedule numbers that the reader asked about in the Mailbag. He wanted to know what defenses would play the hardest schedules, given our projections for each offense.

In each case, we’ve got the defenses ranked best to worst, in terms of strength of schedule. (If all defenses were equal, for example, we would expect Pittsburgh to rank No. 1 against the pass, given its schedule).

Both charts are built from a combination of yards and touchdowns.


STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE FOR DEFENSES (PASSING)
6 points for TDs, 1 for every 15 yards.
   Yds   TD   Pts   
   216   1.33   22.4   Pittsburgh
   221   1.32   22.6   Kansas City
   223   1.31   22.8   San Diego
   220   1.38   23.0   New Orleans
   222   1.37   23.0   Miami
   223   1.38   23.1   Baltimore
   225   1.36   23.2   Seattle
   224   1.38   23.2   Arizona
   225   1.37   23.2   Denver
   225   1.37   23.2   St. Louis
   225   1.39   23.3   San Francisco
   227   1.41   23.6   Atlanta
   227   1.42   23.7   Cleveland
   227   1.42   23.7   Tampa Bay
   230   1.40   23.7   Oakland
   228   1.44   23.8   New England
   227   1.45   23.8   Cincinnati
   232   1.42   24.0   Buffalo
   230   1.47   24.1   Carolina
   234   1.44   24.2   NY Jets
   234   1.47   24.4   Houston
   237   1.46   24.6   Indianapolis
   236   1.51   24.8   Jacksonville
   238   1.53   25.1   Chicago
   241   1.52   25.2   Green Bay
   241   1.54   25.3   Detroit
   246   1.56   25.7   Minnesota
   248   1.57   25.9   Tennessee
   247   1.58   25.9   NY Giants
   247   1.60   26.1   Washington
   249   1.62   26.3   Philadelphia
   251   1.62   26.4   Dallas

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE FOR DEFENSES (RUSHING)
6 points for TDs, 1 for every 10 yards.
   Yds   TD   Pts   
   111   .87   16.3   Tennessee
   112   .85   16.3   Washington
   114   .83   16.3   Carolina
   112   .86   16.4   Minnesota
   116   .80   16.4   Seattle
   115   .81   16.4   San Diego
   113   .85   16.4   Detroit
   115   .84   16.5   Kansas City
   113   .87   16.5   NY Jets
   116   .83   16.6   San Francisco
   112   .89   16.6   Dallas
   114   .86   16.6   Jacksonville
   117   .82   16.6   Arizona
   115   .86   16.6   Oakland
   114   .87   16.6   Green Bay
   117   .84   16.7   Atlanta
   114   .89   16.7   NY Giants
   116   .85   16.7   St. Louis
   115   .89   16.9   New England
   115   .89   16.9   Philadelphia
   117   .87   16.9   Denver
   118   .85   16.9   Baltimore
   117   .91   17.2   Buffalo
   118   .90   17.2   Indianapolis
   121   .86   17.2   New Orleans
   120   .89   17.4   Miami
   119   .92   17.4   Chicago
   120   .89   17.4   Tampa Bay
   118   .93   17.4   Cincinnati
   119   .94   17.5   Houston
   121   .91   17.6   Cleveland
   121   .91   17.6   Pittsburgh


—Ian Allan

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