Ask the Experts

ASK THE EXPERTS appears weekly with answers to a new question being posted Thursday morning. How the guest experts responded when we asked them:

Which player who changed teams this offseason will suffer most from a new address?

JEFFREY KAMYS

It just doesn't seem likely that Anquan Boldin will be able to post the types of numbers that he has put up in his prior days in Arizona. While Boldin is now playing on a potential Super Bowl team, his numbers will suffer in the Ravens much more balanced offensive attack that will feature the run game.

Kamys is president of Dr. Stats Fantasy Sports. His company, via the web, offers player news, injury reports, cheat sheets, projections, weekly matchups, statistics, and a customized team tracker. Dr. Stats Fantasy Sports also e-mails preseason newsletters and reports throughout the season. For more info visit www.docstats.com or send email to webmaster@docstats.com.

SCOTT PIANOWSKI

Santonio Holmes on the Jets is a curious fit - we're talking about a team that's dominated by a hard-hitting defense and conservative offense, and even when New York wants to throw it, Holmes has to compete with Braylon Edwards, Jerricho Cotchery and Dustin Keller for targets. The added month on the sidelines for the suspended Holmes isn't going to help the cause any, and Mark Sanchez still has to be managed as he enters his second year. I don't believe in dead roster spots, so it's very doubtful I'll be drafting Holmes this August.

Pianowski has been playing fantasy football for 15 years and writing about it for 12. He joined Yahoo! Sports in 2008 and has been blogging 24/7 on RotoArcade.com ever since.

DAVID DOREY

The move of LaDainian Tomlinson to the Jets will no doubt encourage many fantasy owners to reach for him too early in drafts thinking of his tremendous career and not his stumbling conclusion. The Jets have a great offensive line and Tomlinson will play a role but he’s already showing the effects of too much wear on the tread with a sub-4.0 rushing average the last two years. Shonn Greene is the future in New York and Tomlinson is only a support player.

Dorey is the co-founder and lead NFL analyst for The Huddle and author of Fantasy Football: The Next Level. He has projected and predicted every NFL game and player performance since 1997 and has appeared in numerous magazines, newspapers, radio and television.

JARED SMOLA

Thomas Jones’ numbers are about to take a big hit as he moves from New York to Kansas City. He rushed for over 1,400 yards last year and was a top-10 fantasy back. But we don’t see him even cracking the top-40 in 2010. For starters, Jones isn’t the starter. Jamaal Charles was absolutely electric down the stretch last year. At this point in their careers, he’s much more talented than Jones. We see the 10-year veteran receiving 8-10 carries per game. And he won’t be as productive with those carries as he was with the Jets. In the Big Apple, T.J. was running behind one of the most dominant run-blocking offensive lines in the game. It’ll be a different story in Kansas City. His plodding style won’t play well there. And that’ll just lead to even fewer carries for the 31-year-old.

Smola is the Senior Editor of DraftSharks.com. DraftSharks has been providing thought-provoking, outside-the-box fantasy football analysis since 1999. The site provides its members with tons of feature articles, daily email updates, in-depth player profiles and projections, its exclusive MVP Draft Board, and much more!

IAN ALLAN

I think that there will be plenty who’ll decline significantly. Thomas Jones, LaDainian Tomlinson, Torry Holt. All of those guys were starters last year; now they’ll be just backups. I think it’s possible that those players combined will start about five games. I’m not sure that Holt will even make the team in New England. Jones ran for 1,402 yards and 14 TDs last year, so I suppose his numbers will fall the most.

Allan is the senior writer for Fantasy Football Index. He's been in that role since 1987, generating most of the player rankings and analysis for that publication. His work can be seen in Fantasy Football Index magazine, and also at the company's website, www.fantasyindex.com.

TIM HEANEY

Going from the run-friendly New York Jets to ... well, Kansas City, Thomas Jones will regret his offseason move. Jones will probably post the majority carries and see goal line work, but how strongly can you count on the latter production week to week with this team? With that O-line, it's hard to say he'll offer much else in his age-32 campaign. Oh, and KC still has the explosive Jamaal Charles, whom Charlie Weis won't ignore. Rank Jones as a low-end No. 3 back, at best, in standard scoring.

Since 1996, KFFL.com has been combining its award-winning news service with top-notch fantasy analysis. KFFL.com offers industry-leading services, including daily news, draft guides and in-season advice. Now 100 percent free, KFFL.com is your destination for fantasy baseball, football and NASCAR cheat sheets, tips, sleepers and much more. KFFL.com has won more than a dozen expert championships and was listed as "One of the 10 essential sports-related online destinations for fans, athletes and fantasy owners" by Time.com. KFFL.com has provided content to USA Today, Yahoo! Sports, FOXSports.com and many other quality organizations.

PRETZEL MAY

Without question Thomas Jones. Jones went from being the #1 rusher on the #1 rushing attack in the league last year to being the #2/goal line guy in Kansas City. That is a 50 yards per game drop between the teams and he isn't even going to start in his new home.

The May brothers have more than 16 years of combined fantasy football experience and are the co-founders of FantasyDraftMaster.com. The cornerstone of FDM is the UberRank which is a revolutionary approach to the traditional fantasy football cheat sheet. FantasyDraftMaster.com also offers insightful and humorous commentary on football happenings as well as recommendations on waiver wire pickups, line up submissions and weekly pick em' pools. For more info, visit www.fantasydraftmaster.com or email us at info@fantasydraftmaster.com.

KEVIN PAYNE

Thomas Jones - Jones' move to KC wasn't exactly his fault; the Jets decided a declining LT was a better choice. Jones will likely be behind Jamaal Charles on the depth chart and at best split carries with him. Jones was also the beneficiary of running behind one of the best offensive lines in New York, a luxury the soon to be 32-year-old won't have in KC. Plug in the pass-happy offensive scheme that Charlie Weis will utilize and I don't see Jones accumulating even half the fantasy points he did last season.

RotoWire.com is a fantasy sports news site that focuses on MLB, NFL, NBA, NHL, auto racing (mostly NASCAR), golf, college football, college basketball and soccer. The web site features player news, draft kits, mock-draft software, in-season tools, feature stories and statistical data to help fantasy players in each sport. RotoWire hosts a three-hour daily radio show on Sirius-XM, XM 147, Sirius 211 11 AM - 2PM ET, has partnerships with Yahoo! Sports, ESPN, NFL.com and FoxSports, among others. To sign-up for a free-trial to RotoWire.com, go to RotoWire.com/trial..

SAM HENDRICKS

In a standard PPR league in 2009 Thomas Jones finished 10th in RBs through week 16. Then he went to KC. Enough said. You want more. He turns 32 in August. He will be in a RBBC with Jamaal Charles and more of a tough, goal line vulture at that. I had him on tons of teams last year and he looked worn out the last three games of the season and in three playoff games. He averaged 4.7 yards per carry the first half of the season, 3.6 the second half. Don’t get me wrong he will be a sleeper if his ADP holds up (113th or 10.05), but do not expect 2009 type numbers.

Sam Hendricks is the author of Fantasy Football Guidebook, Fantasy Football Tips and Fantasy Football Basics, all available at his website, www.ffguidebook.com, at all major bookstores, and at www.amazon.com. He is a 20-year fantasy football veteran who regularly participates in the World Championship of Fantasy Football (WCOFF), National Fantasy Football Championship (NFFC) and finished 7th and 16th overall (out of 228 competitors) in the 2008 and 2009 Fantasy Football Players Championship (FFPC).

SCOTT SACHS

With his meteoric flameout in Cleveland behind him, Brady Quinn's career was supposed to rise like the legendary Phoenix from the ashes with a new start and a new team on the rise in the Broncos. However, any euphoria Quinn experienced during his short-lived honeymoon in Denver got Gator-chopped by the NFL's new jersey sales leader, Tim Tebow. With Orton anointed the starter, plus Timmy Terrific on board, it's hard to see "Bronco Brady" doing more than holding the clipboard and running the scout team this year. It bears mentioning that the Browns have been blamed for underplaying the much-hyped Quinn, but hey, it was mostly Quinn's own fault for holding out when he was initially drafted as a first-rounder. By sitting on his keester, BQ allowed Phil Savage's previous draftee [from the Ravens], Derek Anderson, to get the reps in camp, then the eventual starting nod when Charlie Frye fizzled.

Scott Sachs is “The Coach”, at Perfect Season Fantasy Football, offering Live Talk & Advice from early August through the NFL Playoffs. The Coach has 22 years experience in a 24 team league, 19 years in playoffs with multiple Championships, including the league’s only Perfect Season! Free content and subscriber options at www.perfectseasonffb.com, or email questions or info requests to perfectseasonffbquestions@gmail.com.

LOUIS TRANQUILLI

I'm still trying to figure out just what the NY Jets brass was thinking bring LT2 into NY, and why do the Jets seem to be the resting spot for past their glory players? NY has a potential stud RB in front of LT2, a weaker offensive line with the release of Alan Faneca and a marginal starting QB that can relieve none of the pressure Philip Rivers could for LaDainian. I haven't even got to the fact the Jets play in a division with two very solid defensive teams in Miami and New England, and the schedule includes the NFC East in 2010. I'll look forward to hearing someone else shout out "LaDainian Tomlinson" in 2010..

Tranquilli is the founder and the primary "brains" (if you stretch it) of BFDFANTASYfootball.com. BFD is about delivering the information players want, not fluff, just opinions that matter to fantasy football players. Lou has worked with NFL players and gives a unique perspective because of it.

BURTON MEAHL

My initial response would have been LaDainian Tomlinson. The Jets have Shonn Greene set up as the starter. However, it will likely be a 2-headed attack. One week, LT may have a great week. Another week, Greene will be the man. My actual answer addresses a specific situation. Washington's running back situation is not one that a running back would want to be associated with, in my opinion. Many of us have a history in Mike Shanahan systems with running backs - bad history. I remember drafting Denver running backs during the Shanahan Era and having nothing but headaches after Terrell Davis left. Washington has Larry Johnson, Clinton Portis, and Willie Parker. These are three names that we have become used to seeing drafted within the first two rounds of every fantasy draft. Injuries have played a part in the recent decline in value of Portis and Parker. That may be one of the big reasons for the stashing of big names at the position. One back will carry the entire load one week. The next week someone else will. The week after that, it will be a complete split. Nothing good will come of this for fantasy owners or the running back who wants to be featured. It would have been better for Larry Johnson to land with a club that did not already have a clear-cut No. 1 running back and did not have other big names coming in wrestling for time in the backfield.

Since 1994 Fantasy Insights has partnered with owners to deliver accurate-timely-tools and information geared towards fantasy success, including Premium Pre-Season and Weekly Reports and other fantasy products. Fantasy Insights can sort through all of the garbage and provide quality insights and loads of information for owners to use while compiling and managing their fantasy football team.

MIKE NAZAREK

I believe RB LaDainian Tomlinson is basically done as a productive back in the NFL. Yes, he may catch 30 or so passes for the Jets and score a few times, but I just don't think his career will be anywhere revitalized by moving to New York.

Nazarek is the CEO of Fantasy Football Mastermind Inc. His company offers an online rookie draft kit, preseason draft guide, customizable cheat sheets, fantasy auction & regular drafting programs, weekly in-season fantasy newsletters, injury reports and free NFL news (updated daily) at its web site. He has been playing fantasy football since 1988 and is the one and only four-peat champion of the SI.com Experts Fantasy League, a nationally published writer in several fantasy magazines and a former columnist for SI.com. For more info go to www.ffmastermind.com. Nazarek can be reached at 702-568-7118 or miken@ffmastermind.com.

RICK HAWES

Anytime a player changes uniforms there are question marks, and new Washington quarterback Donovan McNabb isn’t exactly landing in a better situation. Yes, Washington has arguably upgraded the O-line in the nation's capital, but McNabb has a trio of aging running backs to support the ground attack and a lesser quality of skill players in the passing game. Also, he tends to miss a couple of games each year and Washington has the ninth toughest schedule (on paper) this season. In 12-team mocks, McNabb is being selected as a borderline starter, but I see his value heading south.

Hawes is the Managing Editor of NFL content at Fanball.com and OwnersEdge.com. These sites offer league management software, daily play fantasy games, up-to-date news, free and premium content, Live Advice, custom projections and cheat sheets, staff rankings, IDP analysis, and a vast array of fantasy tools to help you bring home the championship hardware. If that’s not enough to whet your appetite, you can join our NFFC High-Stakes football contest, listen to us on the Fanball Fantasy Drive show at Sirius (211) and XM (147), or pick up one of our six magazines, including the Pro Football Draft Preview, as well as five Fantasy Football publications. For more information send e-mail to rhawes@fanball.com.

ANDY RICHARDSON

No shortage of candidates, but I'll nominate Santonio Holmes. Never mind that he'll be sidelined the first four games of the season. And go to a run-first offense. And have to compete with two other capable wideouts, a good young tight end, and the team's running backs for catches. And play for a team with an even stingier defense than Pittsburgh's, which will tend to minimize any shootout potential. Actually, no, consider all that stuff, and it's ample reason to want no part of Holmes this season.

Richardson has been a columnist and contributor to the Fantasy Football Index magazine and web site for the past nine years. His responsibilities include team defense and IDP projections and various site features, and he has run the magazine's annual draft and auction leagues since their inception. He previews all the NFL games on Saturdays and writes a wrap-up column on Mondays during the NFL season.

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