Fantasy News
A couple of thoughts on the ongoing Fanex Draft. (This is the 20-rounder that will take about two weeks – each team has 18 hours when it’s on the clock).
This is the draft where I didn’t take any running backs in the first five rounds. I’m fine with that. You can start three wide receivers, plus a wide receiver flex, and with it being a PPR format, I think that’s where the value is. My first two running backs were C.J. Spiller and Clinton Portis. A couple of rounds back, I insured the Portis pick with Larry Johnson. Now, in rounds 13 and 14, I’ve added a couple of high-upside backups. Bernard Scott and Javon Ringer. Hardly household names, but I expect to get a few big games out of those guys.
Can this kind of against-the-grain approach work? My numbers say yes. According to my projections, when you take the top quarterback on each team and add the production of the top 9 RB-WR-TE on each roster, I’ve got a 100-point cushion against every other team in the league. So things are going fine.
Everyone will draft kickers, defenses and a few more backups in the remaining six rounds, but the meat of this draft is over. I expect a playoff berth (top 4 of 12 teams) for an eighth year in a row. We’ll see though; that’s why they play the game.
FANEX: PROJECTED POINTS SO FAR
Totals of each team’s top quarterback and top 9 RB-WR-TE; in reality, each team starts 7 of those players, but with injuries and byes, some depth is needed for success. Not included yet: kickers and defenses.
Points
2237 Ian Allan
2103 Tony Holm
2079 Scott McClory
2076 Matt Pitzer
2058 Brady Tinker
2055 Chris Rito
2044 Craig Davis
2038 Greg Kellogg
2018 Duane Cahill
1980 Jeff Christensen
1924 Jim Butler
1842 Chris Dolfi
DRAFT SO FAR
1.01 RB Chris Johnson (Holm)
1.02 RB Adrian Peterson (McClory)
1.03 RB Maurice Jones-Drew (Kellogg)
1.04 RB Ray Rice (Tinker)
1.05 RB Frank Gore (Butler)
1.06 WR Andre Johnson (Davis)
1.06 RB Michael Turner (Dolfi)
1.08 RB Steven Jackson (Rito)
1.09 WR Larry Fitzgerald (Cahill)
1.10 WR Brandon Marshall (Allan)
1.11 WR Reggie Wayne (Pitzer)
1.12 WR Randy Moss (Christiansen)
2.01 RB Rashard Mendenhall (Christiansen)
2.02 WR Roddy White (Pitzer)
2.03 WR Miles Austin (Allan)
2.04 RB DeAngelo Williams (Cahill)
2.04 QB Peyton Manning (Tinker)
2.05 WR Calvin Johnson (Rito)
2.06 RB Jamaal Charles (Davis)
2.07 RB Ryan Mathews (Dolfi)
2.08 RB Cedric Benson (Butler)
2.09 WR Marques Colston (Tinker)
2.10 WR Greg Jennings (Kellogg)
2.11 QB Aaron Rodgers (McClory)
2.12 WR DeSean Jackson (Holm)
3.01 WR Steve Smith (Holm)
3.02 WR Anquan Boldin (McClory)
3.03 QB Drew Brees (Kellogg)
3.05 RB LeSean McCoy (Butler)
3.06 WR Steve Smith (Dolfi)
3.07 RB Shonn Greene (Davis)
3.08 RB Ryan Grant (Rito)
3.08 WR Wes Welker (Allan)
3.09 RB Pierre Thomas (Christiansen)
3.11 RB Knowshon Moreno (Pitzer)
3.12 RB Beanie Wells (Cahill)
4.01 WR Michael Crabtree (Christiansen)
4.02 RB Reggie Bush (Pitzer)
4.03 QB Tony Romo (Allan)
4.04 RB Matt Forte (Cahill)
4.05 TE Dallas Clark (Rito)
4.06 QB Matt Schaub (Davis)
4.07 QB Tom Brady (Dolfi)
4.08 QB Philip Rivers (Butler)
4.09 RB Ronnie Brown (Tinker)
4.10 WR Hakeem Nicks (Kellogg)
4.11 RB Joseph Addai (McClory)
4.12 WR Chad Ochocinco (Holm)
5.01 TE Antonio Gates (Holm)
5.02 TE Vernon Davis (McClory)
5.03 RB Jahvid Best (Kellogg)
5.04 WR Dwayne Bowe (Tinker)
5.05 TE Jason Witten (Butler)
5.06 WR Mike Sims-Walker (Dolfi)
5.07 TE Jermichael Finley (Davis)
5.08 WR Sidney Rice (Rito)
5.09 WR Vincent Jackson (Cahill)
5.10 RB C.J. Spiller (Allan)
5.11 RB Jonathan Stewart (Christiansen)
5.12 TE Brent Celek (Pitzer)
6.01 WR Hines Ward (Pitzer)
6.02 WR Percy Harvin (Christiansen)
6.03 RB Clinton Portis (Allan)
6.04 WR Mike Wallace (Cahill)
6.05 QB Jay Cutler (Rito)
6.06 WR Terrell Owens (Davis)
6.07 TE Tony Gonzalez (Dolfi)
6.08 RB Thomas Jones (Butler)
6.09 RB Justin Forsett (Tinker)
6.10 WR Jeremy Maclin (Kellogg)
6.11 WR Johnny Knox (McClory)
6.12 RB Marion Barber (Holm)
7.01 RB Felix Jones (Holm)
7.02 WR Santana Moss (McClory)
7.03 RB Darren McFadden (Kellogg)
7.04 WR Donald Driver (Tinker)
7.05 TE Owen Daniels (Butler)
7.06 WR Robert Meachem (Dolfi)
7.07 RB Michael Bush (Davis)
7.08 RB Fred Jackson (Rito)
7.09 WR Dez Bryant (Cahill)
7.10 WR T.J. Houshmandzadeh (Allan)
7.11 QB Eli Manning (Pitzer)
7.12 QB Kevin Kolb (Christiansen)
8.01 RB Ahmad Bradshaw (Christiansen)
8.02 RB Jerome Harrison (Pitzer)
8.03 TE Heath Miller (Allan)
8.04 QB Carson Palmer (Cahill)
8.05 WR Santonio Holmes (Rito)
8.06 WR Malcom Floyd (Davis)
8.07 WR Pierre Garcon (Dolfi)
8.08 WR Derrick Mason (Butler)
8.09 TE Chris Cooley (Tinker)
8.10 RB Brandon Jacobs (Kellogg)
8.11 RB Ricky Williams (McClory)
8.12 WR Steve Breaston (Holm)
9.01 RB Cadillac Williams (Holm)
9.02 TE Zach Miller (McClory)
9.03 RB Arian Foster (Kellogg)
9.04 WR Braylon Edwards (Tinker)
9.05 WR Jerricho Cotchery (Butler)
9.06 RB Ben Tate (Dolfi)
9.07 WR Devin Aromashodu (Davis)
9.08 RB Tim Hightower (Rito)
9.09 TE Kellen Winslow (Cahill)
9.10 WR Jabar Gaffney (Allan)
9.11 QB Brett Favre (Pitzer)
9.12 QB Matt Ryan (Cahill)
10.01 QB Ben Roethlisberger (Christiansen)
10.02 WR Austin Collie (Pitzer)
10.03 QB Donovan McNabb (Allan)
10.04 WR Kenny Britt (Cahill)
10.05 WR Devin Hester (Rito)
10.06 QB Joe Flacco (Davis)
10.07 WR Golden Tate (Dolfi)
10.08 RB Willis McGahee (Butler)
10.09 RB LaDainian Tomlinson (Tinker)
10.10 TE John Carlson (Kellogg)
10.11 TE Visanthe Shiancoe (McClory)
10.12 RB Steve Slaton (Holm)
11.01 RB Chester Taylor (Holm)
11.02 WR Nate Burleson (McClory)
11.03 QB Matthew Stafford (Kellogg)
11.04 WR Eddie Royal (Tinker)
11.05 RB Donald Brown (Christiansen)
11.06 RB Darren Sproles (Dolfi)
11.07 RB Laurence Maroney (Davis)
11.08 WR Lee Evans (Rito)
11.09 WR Laurent Robinson (Butler)
11.10 WR Mohamed Massaquoi (Allan)
11.11 RB Montario Hardesty (Pitzer)
11.12 WR Julian Edelman (Christiansen)
12.01 WR Chris Chambers (Butler)
12.02 TE Dustin Keller (Pitzer)
12.03 RB Larry Johnson (Allan)
12.04 WR Mike Williams (Cahill)
12.05 QB Vince Young (Rito)
12.06 WR Roy Williams (Davis)
12.07 WR Jacoby Jones (Dolfi)
12.08 RB Tashard Choice (Christiansen)
12.09 ST NY Jets (Tinker)
12.10 WR Lance Moore (Kellogg)
12.11 RB Kevin Smith (McClory)
12.12 QB Chad Henne (Holm)
13.01 QB Alex Smith (Holm)
13.02 ST Green Bay (McClory)
13.03 WR Dexter McCluster (Kellogg)
13.04 WR Jordan Shipley (Tinker)
13.05 WR Legedu Naanee (Butler)
13.06 RB Brian Westbrook (Dolfi)
13.07 RB Leon Washington (Davis)
13.08 TE Jeremy Shockey (Rito)
13.09 RB Toby Gerhart (Cahill)
13.10 RB Bernard Scott (Allan)
13.11 RB Correll Buckhalter (Pitzer)
13.12 TE Greg Olsen (Christiansen)
14.01 ST Philadelphia (Christiansen)
14.02 WR Nate Washington (Pitzer)
14.03 RB Javon Ringer (Allan)
14.04 WR Chaz Schilens (Cahill)
14.05 ST Minnesota (Rito)
—Ian Allan
- Comments [3]
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Posted by Robert Heater | Aug. 18 at 05:52 PM
So given your selection of him in the 3rd round I take it you aren't in the least bit concerned about the health of Welker. There is simply no way he will be as explosive this season as he was before his knee injury. Less explosion less separation less receptions. No matter how fast of a healer Welker is, 9 months is not enough to be fully recuperated from such a devastating knee injury. You also had to figure that few teams, if any, had him ranked as highly as you did. That factored in with the possibility of re-injury or a setback and that seemed like an awfully unwise pick. I love your strategy and rationale for drafting, but this looks a bit like a case of you chasing last years stats. Would it not have behooved you to take Romo with your 3rd pick and then select JerMichael Finley with your 4th giving you a positional advantage at TE? Then you could gamble on Welker falling to your 5th selection and get better value on him, or grab the RB's like you did. Has Welker distanced himself that much from guys like Ward and Nicks that you felt compelled to select him as high as you did? Great work as usual Ian, but that pick really is a headscratcher to me.
Posted by IAN ALLAN | Aug. 19 at 03:44 AM
There's risk involved with Welker, certainly. But this is a PPR format, so those guys who catch 100 passes are extremely valuable. That's why I made that gamble. I figured I'd insure that pick later with Julian Edelman, but he went way earlier than I anticipated. If I knew I wouldn't get Edelman, I would have preferred to have selected Jermichael Finley. I'll agree with you that it was the much safer route to go.
Posted by Robert Heater | Aug. 19 at 09:08 AM
I figured there had to be more than meets the eye with that selection. Thank you for explaining.