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If I were walking into a draft today, I would expect Greene to be selected in the third or fourth round. That would skew a little higher or lower, based on scoring system. He won’t do much as a pass catcher, which will hurt him in leagues that give credit for receiving production, particularly PPR leagues (Greene didn’t catch a single pass in the regular season last year, and he caught only one in the playoffs). I honestly think he’ll catch only about 7-10 passes all of next year. But he looked very good at the end of last season – like a young Michael Turner, really. He’s built low to the ground, he breaks tackles, and he’s got some speed – he showed that on the long touchdown run at San Diego in the playoffs. I think he’ll be New York’s top running back. The Jets could release Thomas Jones soon. He’s due a $2.8 million bonus within two weeks, and I don’t think they’ll pay that. Jones played well enough last year, but he’ll be 32 in August. I don’t think New York wants to commit close to $6 million for a running back who’s nearing the end of the road. They also have Leon Washington, but he’s coming off a leg injury and is a smaller, change-of-pace back anyway. I like Greene. In a 12-team league, I would jump at the chance to lock him up now for as little as a fifth-round pick – I would consider that to be a steal-type situation. No doubt you’ll be holding onto him for just a 12th-round choice. Right now, he projects to be one of your key building blocks for the 2010 season.

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I think the format with four-team divisions looks a lot more appealing. It’s far more similar to what you see in the mother league, and it’s better for scheduling. With four-team divisions, you play everyone once, plus an additional game against teams inside the division, making 14 weeks – leaving two weeks for the playoffs. I’m not even sure how you’d schedule a league with 6-team divisions. You’d either have to play some division opponents only once (bad) or not even play some teams from the other division at all (even worse). I will throw out another possibility for you to consider: Don’t put the teams in divisions at all, and have everyone play each other twice. Each team would play 22 regular-season games (to fit them all in, of course, you’d have to play double headers on many of the weeks of the regular season). The downside of this approach is that it’s different from how you’ve always run it and decreases the value of games. The upside is that the schedule is very fair, and it reduces the luck factor – it makes it harder to get into the playoffs by happening to have played an easy schedule. You could play the 22 games in either 14 weeks, with the top four teams making the playoffs, or you could play them in 13 weeks, with the top six making the playoffs (and the top two finishers getting byes in the first round of the playoffs).

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I would rather have Barber, but it’s early. I’m not even sure where Reggie Bush will play. The Saints may have to release him. He’s due a base salary of $8 million; no way are they going to pay him that kind of money. Bush catches a lot of passes, which inflates his value in some fantasy formats, but he’s also had a lot of injuries. I’m not sure we can count on him playing more than 12 games. I also see that you’ve Choice. He’s also a candidate to be traded – hard to believe the Cowboys will continue to sit on him, since they’ve got Barber and Jones. The Chargers reportedly have offered Antonio Cromartie in exchange for Choice.

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I thought Moreno was kind of a disappointment as a rookie. He was OK. He’ll get better with experience. He’ll definitely be Denver’s featured back next year. But Moreno didn’t wow me. I didn’t see any magic. Correll Buckhalter outperformed him in almost every game. Buckhalter averaged 5.4 yards per carry – over a yard and a half more than Moreno. I suppose if Buckhalter was the guy they’d selected in the first round, we’d all be talking him up right now. So I’m not buying into the theory yet that Moreno is on the Emmitt track. As I recall with Smith, he was set back as a rookie by a monster holdout (he wasn’t even active for the initial games). And Smith came on late in his first season, scoring 4 TDs in a game.

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