Fantasy Football Index - Scheduletron
Posted Wednesday, December 31, 2008
According to the NFL's official numbers, Detroit and Kansas City projected to play two of the hardest four schedules in the league, but that data is slightly skewed (in our opinion). Those teams lost plenty of games, so it's only natural that their schedules appeared to be hard. The Lions, for example, went 0-16, making a 127-113 (a difficult schedule) look like a 143-113 whopper.
The 49ers, Bills and Broncos appear to have played the easiest schedules. We were wrong there. We expected the Chargers and Patriots to benefit from easy schedules, but neither of those teams were in the elite group.
The playoff teams with the easiest schedules were the Falcons and Dolphins. Atlanta is a bit of surprise, considering it played in the NFC South (where every team went at least 8-8); but the Falcons also played 2-14 Kansas City, 2-14 St. Louis, 5-11 Oakland and 0-16 Detroit.
The complete number appear below -- the NFL numbers, followed by our own numbers (which we feel are more telling).
STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE -- Standard NFL version
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
Pct.
|
|
|
| 114 | 141 | 1 | .447 | San Francisco | |
| 116 | 140 | 0 | .453 | Buffalo | |
| 117 | 139 | 0 | .457 | Denver | |
| 117 | 138 | 1 | .459 | Atlanta | |
| 117 | 138 | 1 | .459 | Tennessee | |
| 118 | 138 | 0 | .461 | Miami | |
| 120 | 135 | 1 | .471 | NY Jets | |
| 121 | 134 | 1 | .475 | Chicago | |
| 121 | 132 | 3 | .479 | Washington | |
| 123 | 133 | 0 | .480 | New England | |
| 123 | 133 | 0 | .480 | Tampa Bay | |
| 124 | 131 | 1 | .486 | Arizona | |
| 125 | 131 | 0 | .488 | Carolina | |
| 127 | 129 | 0 | .496 | New Orleans | |
| 126 | 127 | 3 | .498 | Dallas | |
| 127 | 128 | 1 | .498 | Indianapolis | |
| 127 | 128 | 1 | .498 | Seattle | |
| 127 | 126 | 3 | .502 | NY Giants | |
| 129 | 127 | 0 | .504 | Green Bay | |
| 129 | 127 | 0 | .504 | Minnesota | |
| 131 | 124 | 1 | .514 | Philadelphia | |
| 132 | 124 | 0 | .516 | San Diego | |
| 132 | 123 | 1 | .518 | Houston | |
| 133 | 123 | 0 | .520 | Oakland | |
| 132 | 121 | 3 | .521 | Baltimore | |
| 133 | 120 | 3 | .525 | Pittsburgh | |
| 136 | 119 | 1 | .533 | St. Louis | |
| 137 | 118 | 1 | .537 | Jacksonville | |
| 137 | 118 | 1 | .537 | Kansas City | |
| 141 | 114 | 1 | .553 | Cincinnati | |
| 143 | 113 | 0 | .559 | Detroit | |
| 145 | 108 | 3 | .572 | Cleveland |
STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE -- customized Fantasy Index version
|
W
|
L
|
T
|
Pct.
|
||
| 105 | 134 | 1 | .440 | San Francisco | |
| 107 | 133 | 0 | .446 | Buffalo | |
| 109 | 131 | 0 | .454 | Denver | |
| 112 | 127 | 1 | .469 | Atlanta | |
| 113 | 127 | 0 | .471 | Miami | |
| 113 | 126 | 1 | .473 | NY Jets | |
| 114 | 125 | 1 | .477 | Chicago | |
| 114 | 125 | 1 | .477 | Tennessee | |
| 113 | 124 | 3 | .477 | Washington | |
| 115 | 124 | 1 | .481 | Seattle | |
| 116 | 124 | 0 | .483 | Tampa Bay | |
| 117 | 122 | 1 | .490 | Arizona | |
| 118 | 122 | 0 | .492 | New England | |
| 119 | 121 | 0 | .496 | Green Bay | |
| 119 | 121 | 0 | .496 | New Orleans | |
| 119 | 118 | 3 | .502 | Dallas | |
| 121 | 119 | 0 | .504 | Carolina | |
| 122 | 118 | 0 | .508 | Oakland | |
| 122 | 117 | 1 | .510 | St. Louis | |
| 123 | 117 | 0 | .513 | Minnesota | |
| 123 | 116 | 1 | .515 | Indianapolis | |
| 123 | 116 | 1 | .515 | Kansas City | |
| 124 | 116 | 0 | .517 | San Diego | |
| 124 | 115 | 1 | .519 | Houston | |
| 123 | 114 | 3 | .519 | NY Giants | |
| 125 | 115 | 0 | .521 | Philadelphia | |
| 126 | 113 | 1 | .527 | Jacksonville | |
| 127 | 113 | 0 | .529 | Detroit | |
| 127 | 110 | 3 | .535 | Baltimore | |
| 130 | 110 | 0 | .542 | Cincinnati | |
| 129 | 108 | 3 | .544 | Pittsburgh | |
| 133 | 104 | 3 | .560 | Cleveland |
SOURCE: Fantasy Football Index research.