Over the weekend we posted the list of 1,000-yard receivers from the last three seasons. Here's the list of running backs who went for 1,000 yards in the same span. Not surprisingly, it's shorter.
There were 13 running backs who rushed for at least 1,000 yards in 2014. How many of them should we expect to go over 1,000 yards one year later? Based on what happened in 2012 and 2013, it looks like about a 50-50 proposition.
Of the 16 runners who rushed for at least 1,000 yards in 2012, nearly half (7) came back and rushed for 1,000 yards in 2013. Of the 13 who rushed for 1,000 yards in 2013, about 60 percent (8) then rushed for 1,000 yards in 2014.
Five of those 1,000-yard repeaters were the same player (that is, rushed for 1,000 yards in all three seasons). Marshawn Lynch, Jamaal Charles, Alfred Morris, Frank Gore and Matt Forte.
Looking at the 13 who rushed for 1,000 yards last year, recent history suggests 5-6 of them won't do it again in 2015, either due to injury or sliding into a committee situation. We can make some guesses: Gore and Forsett seem unlikely to again be featured. Lynch might still retire. Foster and Murray will always be atop the list of players likely to be injured.
1,000-YARD RUSHERS, 2012-2014 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Player | Team | Att | Yards | TD | One year later |
2012 | Adrian Peterson | MIN | 348 | 2,097 | 12 | 1,000 yards |
2012 | Ahmad Bradshaw | NYG | 221 | 1,015 | 6 | Injured |
2012 | Alfred Morris | WAS | 335 | 1,613 | 13 | 1,000 yards |
2012 | Arian Foster | HOU | 351 | 1,424 | 15 | Injured |
2012 | BenJarvus Green-Ellis | CIN | 278 | 1,094 | 6 | Committee |
2012 | C.J. Spiller | BUF | 207 | 1,244 | 6 | Committee |
2012 | Chris Johnson | TEN | 276 | 1,243 | 6 | 1,000 yards |
2012 | Doug Martin | TB | 319 | 1,454 | 11 | Committee |
2012 | Frank Gore | SF | 258 | 1,214 | 8 | 1,000 yards |
2012 | Jamaal Charles | KC | 285 | 1,509 | 5 | 1,000 yards |
2012 | Marshawn Lynch | SEA | 315 | 1,590 | 11 | 1,000 yards |
2012 | Matt Forte | CHI | 248 | 1,094 | 5 | 1,000 yards |
2012 | Ray Rice | BAL | 257 | 1,143 | 9 | Suspended |
2012 | Shonn Greene | NYJ | 276 | 1,063 | 8 | Committee |
2012 | Stevan Ridley | NE | 290 | 1,263 | 12 | Injured |
2012 | Steven Jackson | STL | 258 | 1,045 | 4 | Injured |
2013 | Adrian Peterson | MIN | 279 | 1,266 | 10 | Suspended |
2013 | Alfred Morris | WAS | 276 | 1,275 | 7 | 1,000 yards |
2013 | Chris Johnson | TEN | 279 | 1,077 | 6 | Committee |
2013 | DeMarco Murray | DAL | 217 | 1,121 | 9 | 1,000 yards |
2013 | Eddie Lacy | GB | 284 | 1,178 | 11 | 1,000 yards |
2013 | Frank Gore | SF | 276 | 1,128 | 9 | 1,000 yards |
2013 | Jamaal Charles | KC | 259 | 1,287 | 12 | 1,000 yards |
2013 | Knowshon Moreno | DEN | 241 | 1,038 | 10 | Injured |
2013 | LeSean McCoy | PHI | 314 | 1,607 | 9 | 1,000 yards |
2013 | Marshawn Lynch | SEA | 301 | 1,257 | 12 | 1,000 yards |
2013 | Matt Forte | CHI | 289 | 1,339 | 9 | 1,000 yards |
2013 | Reggie Bush | DET | 223 | 1,006 | 4 | Committee |
2013 | Ryan Mathews | SD | 285 | 1,255 | 6 | Injured |
2014 | Alfred Morris | WAS | 265 | 1,074 | 8 | ? |
2014 | Arian Foster | HOU | 260 | 1,246 | 8 | ? |
2014 | DeMarco Murray | DAL | 392 | 1,845 | 13 | ? |
2014 | Eddie Lacy | GB | 246 | 1,139 | 9 | ? |
2014 | Frank Gore | SF | 255 | 1,106 | 4 | ? |
2014 | Jamaal Charles | KC | 206 | 1,033 | 9 | ? |
2014 | Jeremy Hill | CIN | 222 | 1,124 | 9 | ? |
2014 | Justin Forsett | BAL | 235 | 1,266 | 8 | ? |
2014 | Lamar Miller | MIA | 216 | 1,099 | 8 | ? |
2014 | LeSean McCoy | PHI | 312 | 1,319 | 5 | ? |
2014 | Le'Veon Bell | PIT | 290 | 1,361 | 8 | ? |
2014 | Marshawn Lynch | SEA | 280 | 1,306 | 13 | ? |
2014 | Matt Forte | CHI | 266 | 1,038 | 6 | ? |
--Andy Richardson