The Fanex Analysis Draft has ended. Finally. And as part of the post-op, I’ll take a quick look at the other franchises. I think I can tell who’ll win and who’ll tend to struggle, but we’ll find out for sure at the end of the year.
I will leave my own team out of the analysis, because by definition every owner should feel that their team is the best – that’s why they picked the players. If they didn’t like Frank Gore or Andre Johnson or whomever, they wouldn’t have picked those guys. So if anybody embarked on the same kind of study, I’m sure they would also conclude that their team should win.
These kind of contests are hard to handicap, because you get into the issues of starting lineups versus backups and owners utilizing their resources differently. Are you better with Andrew Luck and a throwaway backup (maybe Marcus Mariota)? Or does that tandem get beaten by a pair of top-10 quarterbacks (like maybe Matt Ryan and Ben Roethlisberger).
This is a best-ball league. That is, no starting lineups. So backups become starters if they outperform the first-stringers. It’s PPR scoring, with starting lineups of QB, RB, RB, WR, WR, WR, TE, K, DEF and one flex (RB-WR-TE).
For my ballpark scoring estimates, I gave each team full credit for their projected starters, plus an additional RB and WR. Depth is important in this league. For the initial backups (QB, RB, RB, WR, WR, TE, K, Def) I gave them 30 percent of value. Then I gave just a few points for deep backups. A team or two selected eight wide receivers, and I don’t think the last guys they selected will even play.
Using that scoring (and cross-breeding my own stat projections with the 220 players these guys picked) I expect they’ll finish this way.
| FANEX POWER RATINGS | |
|---|---|
| Analyst | Points |
| Brady Tinker | 2,658 |
| Rito / Nazarek | 2,638 |
| Tony Holm | 2,621 |
| Dolfi / Walls | 2,614 |
| Matt Schauf | 2,587 |
| Mike Nease | 2,538 |
| Duane Cahill | 2,515 |
| Jim Day | 2,507 |
| Carlos Panizo | 2,506 |
| Dish Adams | 2,373 |
| Ric Serritella | 2,266 |
There are no “games” in this competition. It’s based on accumulated points in the regular season. It’s been a good league for me. I’ve competed 8 times, and I’ve won the title 3 times. Going 3 for 8 in a 12-team league is about as good as you can hope for.
Three other analysts have won it twice – Tony Holm, Duane Cahill and the team of Chris Dolfi and Tom Walls – but they’ve all been in for 11-12 years.
In grading the careers of each analyst, I give each guys wins and losses for each year, based on where he placed. If you win it, you go 11-0 against the other analysts. If you place 2nd, you go 10-1. If you finish in last, you get an 0-11 mark. Using that scoring system the all-time standings look like this …
| FANEX ANALYSIS DRAFT (all-time standings) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst | Win | Loss | Pct | Titles |
| Ian Allan | 65 | 23 | .739 | 3 |
| R.Bonini / Del Pilar | 30 | 14 | .682 | 0 |
| Tony Holm | 77 | 44 | .636 | 2 |
| Dolfi / Walls | 67 | 54 | .554 | 2 |
| Ryan Houston | 24 | 20 | .545 | 0 |
| Chris Rito | 51 | 59 | .464 | 0 |
| Duane Cahill | 60 | 72 | .455 | 2 |
| T.C. Cannon | 55 | 66 | .455 | 0 |
| Mike Nazarek | 50 | 60 | .455 | 0 |
| Mike Harmon | 35 | 42 | .455 | 0 |
| Brian Hulett | 20 | 24 | .455 | 1 |
| Matt Pitzer | 29 | 37 | .439 | 0 |
| Rito / Nazarek | 33 | 44 | .429 | 0 |
| Greg Kellogg | 50 | 71 | .413 | 0 |
| Jerome Hickerson | 35 | 53 | .398 | 0 |
| Shannon O’Leary | 13 | 31 | .295 | 0 |
The 2nd-place team right now is Ryan Bonini and William Del Pilar, but they’re not in it this year.
Some teams have only been around for 1-3 years, and I left them out of the overall chart. Let them play a few more games before we figure where they slot in. But there could be a couple of up-and-comers in this competition now. Matt Schauf has competed only twice, and he’s finished 2nd and 3rd in his two years. And Dish Adams is 14-8 after two years (he won it once and finished 9th last year).
| FANEX ANALYSIS DRAFT (1-3 years) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst | Win | Loss | Pct | Titles |
| Matt Schauf | 19 | 3 | .864 | 0 |
| Mike Perlow | 17 | 5 | .773 | 0 |
| John Georgopoulos | 15 | 7 | .682 | 0 |
| Dish Adams | 14 | 8 | .636 | 1 |
| Mike Nease | 13 | 20 | .394 | 0 |
| Craig Davis | 12 | 21 | .364 | 0 |
| Emil Kadlec | 12 | 21 | .364 | 0 |
| Tim Holler | 12 | 10 | .545 | 0 |
| Scott Engel | 11 | 11 | .500 | 1 |
| David Dodds | 10 | 1 | .909 | 0 |
| John Hansen | 8 | 14 | .364 | 0 |
| Carlos Panizo | 8 | 3 | .727 | 0 |
| Brady Tinker | 6 | 5 | .545 | 0 |
| Jim Butler | 5 | 17 | .227 | 0 |
| Jim Day | 5 | 6 | .455 | 0 |
| Mark Nulty | 5 | 6 | .455 | 0 |
| Simons | 5 | 6 | .455 | 0 |
| Paul Charchian | 1 | 10 | .091 | 0 |
| Ric Serritella | 0 | 11 | .000 | 0 |
If you want to pick through the rosters or track this league, click on this link.
—Ian Allan