There's a story about Leonte Carroo in the Miami Herald; the Dolphins' third-round pick a year ago. He seemed to be in line for a potential increased role if the team let Kenny Stills walk in free agency, but Stills was re-signed, joining Jarvis Landry and DeVante Parker atop the depth chart. Obviously, it's not a positive for Carroo doing anything in 2017.

Over the last 10 years, there have been 48 other wide receivers selected in the third round. In Year 2, 16 of those players (exactly a third) put up noteworthy numbers in their second season. I'm being generous with the term noteworthy, including every wideout that put up at least 500 receiving yards.

Nearly half (21) of those players did almost nothing at all in Year 2, not even reaching 300 receiving yards. Only two of that group (the most productive two, as it turns out, Emmanuel Sanders and James Jones) went on to be solid NFL players. The rest quickly disappeared from the league or are well on their way. (Some of the ones with 500-plus yards did, too, like Damian Williams and Earl Bennett.)

So recent history suggests last year's third rounders (Carroo and Braxton Miller, in Houston) have about a 1-in-3 chance of putting up good numbers in Year 2. (Houston, note, has struck out several times in that round in the last decade.) And if they don't do much in 2017, their careers probably won't amount to very much, either.

Third-rounders from the last decade, sorted by Year 2 receiving yards, are below.

200984Mike Wallace, Pitt.60125710
201292T.Y. Hilton, Ind.8210835
201491John Brown, Ariz.6510037
200895Mario Manningham, NYG578225
201376Keenan Allen, S.D.777834
201490Donte Moncrief, Ind.647336
200870Earl Bennett, Chi.547172
201379Markus Wheaton, Pitt.536442
201374Terrance Williams, Dall.376218
201078Brandon LaFell, Car.366133
201087Eric Decker, Den.446128
201569Tyler Lockett, Sea.415972
201077Damian Williams, Tenn.455925
201088Andre Roberts, Ariz.515862
201179Leonard Hankerson, Wash.385433
201576Chris Conley, K.C.445300
201283Mohamed Sanu, Cin.474552
201587Sammie Coates, Pitt.214352
201392Stedman Bailey, St.L.304351
200983Brandon Tate, N.E.244325
200897Andre Caldwell, Cin.514323
200991Deon Butler, Sea.363854
200799Johnnie Lee Higgins, Oak.223667
201269T.J. Graham, Buff.233612
201594Ty Montgomery, G.B.443483
200776Jason Hill, S.F.303172
201486Josh Huff, Phil.273123
201082Emmanuel Sanders, Pitt.222882
200778James Jones, G.B.202741
201178Austin Pettis, St.L.302614
200779Mike Sims-Walker, Jac.162170
200881Early Doucet, Ariz.172141
201268DeVier Posey, Hou.151550
201570Jaelen Strong, Hou.141310
200773Jacoby Jones, Hou.3812
200985Ramses Barden, NYG5640
200775Laurent Robinson, Atl.5520
200774Yamon Figurs, Balt.1431
201378Marquise Goodwin, Buff.1420
201090Taylor Price, N.E.2390
200982Derrick Williams, Det.3300
200987Patrick Turner, Mia.2260
201183Jerrel Jernigan, NYG3220
201084Jordan Shipley, Cin.4140
200780Paul Williams, Tenn.170
201182Vincent Brown, S.D.000
200999Juaquin Iglesias, Chi.000
200884Harry Douglas, Atl.000
201686Leonte Carroo, Mia. ???
201685Braxton Miller, Hou.???

--Andy Richardson