Seven of the weeks are in the books. We have a good idea what will happen in the remaining nine weeks. And at the end of the year, it looks like the four teams finishing with the best records might all come from the two West Divisions.

That's what I get when I try to forecast each of the remaining games.

Seattle and Denver seem to have the best chance of capturing home-field advantage. San Francisco and Kansas City seem to be the next-best possibilities.

Only two of those teams, of course, can earn first-round byes. So on my board, I've got New Orleans and New England coming in to steal those. With their defensive injuries (Wilfork, Mayo) I don't really see the Patriots as a true Super Bowl contender, but they come in just a hair in front of the other two projected AFC division winners (Cincinnati, Indianapolis).

I've got Green Bay and Dallas as my other NFC division winners.

If my math is right, San Francisco and Detroit will be the NFC wild cards, with Chicago and Carolina getting left out.

On the AFC side, Kansas City and Baltimore are the wild cards, with San Diego, New York and Tennessee coming up short.

Jacksonville, Tampa Bay, Minnesota and the Giants. Those are the team that will pick at the start of next spring's draft.

There's an interesting dynamic at play in the two West Division battles, particularly with the Seahawks and 49ers. These races could come down to the "Strength of Victory" tiebreaker, that's No. 5 in the order for breaking ties within divisions.

Suppose, for example, that San Francisco beats Seattle in December at Candlestick, and that otherwise these two teams win out. They both finish 14-2. Not necessarily likely (they both must play New Orleans) but possible. If it goes out that way, San Francisco will win the division because of playing a harder schedule. For these teams, 14 of their games are the same, but the 49ers' two other games are against Green Bay and Washington. Seattle's two other games are against the Giants and Vikings (who will finish with lesser records).

The same sort of of scenario is possible but less likely in the AFC West. Denver's two at-large games (New England, Baltimore) will finish with better records than Kansas City's (Buffalo, Cleveland).

PROJECTED RECORDS FOR EACH TEAM
TeamWLPct
Seattle13.22.8.827
Denver12.53.6.778
San Francisco12.04.0.748
Kansas City12.04.1.747
New Orleans11.84.3.734
New England11.14.9.694
Green Bay10.95.1.681
Cincinnati10.65.5.659
Indianapolis10.55.5.658
Detroit9.46.7.584
Dallas8.97.2.553
Baltimore8.77.4.541
Chicago8.57.5.531
San Diego8.57.5.531
NY Jets8.27.8.513
Carolina8.17.9.506
Tennessee8.18.0.503
Philadelphia7.68.5.472
Miami7.48.6.463
Houston7.48.7.459
Buffalo7.19.0.441
Pittsburgh6.99.1.431
Washington6.99.1.431
Arizona6.89.2.427
Cleveland5.610.4.350
Oakland5.310.7.331
Atlanta5.111.0.316
St. Louis4.911.1.304
NY Giants4.311.7.269
Minnesota3.812.2.239
Tampa Bay2.813.2.174
Jacksonville1.714.3.105

WEEK-BY-WEEK PROJECTIONS

Week 8
Washington 10% at Denver 90%
Seattle 90% at St. Louis 10%
San Francisco 95% at Jacksonville 5%
Pittsburgh 50% at Oakland 50%
NY Jets 20% at Cincinnati 80%
NY Giants 30% at Philadelphia 70%
Miami 20% at New England 80%
Green Bay 60% at Minnesota 40%
Dallas 40% at Detroit 60%
Cleveland 10% at Kansas City 90%
Carolina 60% at Tampa Bay 40%
Buffalo 10% at New Orleans 90%
Atlanta 40% at Arizona 60%

Week 9
Tennessee 65% at St. Louis 35%
Tampa Bay 3% at Seattle 97%
San Diego 45% at Washington 55%
Pittsburgh 15% at New England 85%
Philadelphia 50% at Oakland 50%
New Orleans 60% at NY Jets 40%
Minnesota 20% at Dallas 80%
Kansas City 60% at Buffalo 40%
Indianapolis 45% at Houston 55%
Cincinnati 50% at Miami 50%
Chicago 20% at Green Bay 80%
Baltimore 70% at Cleveland 30%
Atlanta 25% at Carolina 75%

Week 10
Washington 55% at Minnesota 45%
St. Louis 5% at Indianapolis 95%
Seattle 70% at Atlanta 30%
Philadelphia 20% at Green Bay 80%
Oakland 40% at NY Giants 60%
Miami 60% at Tampa Bay 40%
Jacksonville 5% at Tennessee 95%
Houston 55% at Arizona 45%
Detroit 45% at Chicago 55%
Denver 60% at San Diego 40%
Dallas 25% at New Orleans 75%
Cincinnati 40% at Baltimore 60%
Carolina 10% at San Francisco 90%
Buffalo 25% at Pittsburgh 75%

Week 11
Washington 40% at Philadelphia 60%
San Francisco 50% at New Orleans 50%
San Diego 50% at Miami 50%
Oakland 20% at Houston 80%
NY Jets 45% at Buffalo 55%
New England 60% at Carolina 40%
Minnesota 3% at Seattle 97%
Kansas City 20% at Denver 80%
Indianapolis 45% at Tennessee 55%
Green Bay 60% at NY Giants 40%
Detroit 45% at Pittsburgh 55%
Cleveland 15% at Cincinnati 85%
Baltimore 55% at Chicago 45%
Atlanta 45% at Tampa Bay 55%
Arizona 65% at Jacksonville 35%

Week 12
Tennessee 50% at Oakland 50%
Tampa Bay 10% at Detroit 90%
San Francisco 60% at Washington 40%
San Diego 35% at Kansas City 65%
Pittsburgh 55% at Cleveland 45%
NY Jets 25% at Baltimore 75%
New Orleans 70% at Atlanta 30%
Minnesota 10% at Green Bay 90%
Jacksonville 5% at Houston 95%
Indianapolis 60% at Arizona 40%
Denver 40% at New England 60%
Dallas 45% at NY Giants 55%
Chicago 65% at St. Louis 35%
Carolina 45% at Miami 55%

Week 13
Tennessee 35% at Indianapolis 65%
Tampa Bay 15% at Carolina 85%
St. Louis 3% at San Francisco 97%
Pittsburgh 30% at Baltimore 70%
Oakland 20% at Dallas 80%
NY Giants 25% at Washington 75%
New Orleans 25% at Seattle 75%
New England 50% at Houston 50%
Miami 40% at NY Jets 60%
Jacksonville 25% at Cleveland 75%
Green Bay 45% at Detroit 55%
Denver 55% at Kansas City 45%
Cincinnati 50% at San Diego 50%
Chicago 55% at Minnesota 45%
Atlanta 25% at Buffalo 75%
Arizona 30% at Philadelphia 70%

Week 14
Tennessee 10% at Denver 90%
St. Louis 20% at Arizona 80%
Seattle 35% at San Francisco 65%
Oakland 25% at NY Jets 75%
NY Giants 15% at San Diego 85%
Minnesota 15% at Baltimore 85%
Miami 35% at Pittsburgh 65%
Kansas City 45% at Washington 55%
Indianapolis 45% at Cincinnati 55%
Houston 75% at Jacksonville 25%
Detroit 45% at Philadelphia 55%
Dallas 45% at Chicago 55%
Cleveland 5% at New England 95%
Carolina 15% at New Orleans 85%
Buffalo 55% at Tampa Bay 45%
Atlanta 10% at Green Bay 90%

Week 15
Washington 55% at Atlanta 45%
Seattle 65% at NY Giants 35%
San Francisco 80% at Tampa Bay 20%
San Diego 15% at Denver 85%
Philadelphia 50% at Minnesota 50%
NY Jets 30% at Carolina 70%
New Orleans 80% at St. Louis 20%
New England 60% at Miami 40%
Kansas City 65% at Oakland 35%
Houston 40% at Indianapolis 60%
Green Bay 45% at Dallas 55%
Cincinnati 45% at Pittsburgh 55%
Chicago 65% at Cleveland 35%
Buffalo 65% at Jacksonville 35%
Baltimore 45% at Detroit 55%
Arizona 30% at Tennessee 70%

Week 16
Tennessee 70% at Jacksonville 30%
Tampa Bay 45% at St. Louis 55%
Pittsburgh 15% at Green Bay 85%
Oakland 25% at San Diego 75%
NY Giants 15% at Detroit 85%
New Orleans 45% at Carolina 55%
New England 35% at Baltimore 65%
Minnesota 10% at Cincinnati 90%
Miami 35% at Buffalo 65%
Indianapolis 40% at Kansas City 60%
Denver 60% at Houston 40%
Dallas 40% at Washington 60%
Cleveland 20% at NY Jets 80%
Chicago 45% at Philadelphia 55%
Atlanta 10% at San Francisco 90%
Arizona 3% at Seattle 97%

Week 17
Washington 45% at NY Giants 55%
Tampa Bay 5% at New Orleans 95%
St. Louis 3% at Seattle 97%
San Francisco 70% at Arizona 30%
Philadelphia 25% at Dallas 75%
NY Jets 45% at Miami 55%
Kansas City 45% at San Diego 55%
Jacksonville 3% at Indianapolis 97%
Houston 45% at Tennessee 55%
Green Bay 55% at Chicago 45%
Detroit 55% at Minnesota 45%
Denver 85% at Oakland 15%
Cleveland 25% at Pittsburgh 75%
Carolina 55% at Atlanta 45%
Buffalo 15% at New England 85%
Baltimore 40% at Cincinnati 60%