Is it too early for mock drafts? To be honest, while I think most football fans like mock drafts, I'm not sure most fantasy owners are that interested. Even those in dynasty leagues care about the players only when they actually end up somewhere, not before.

As a dynasty owner, I'm very interested in where players end up, but not so much in speculation about where they'll go. A "good" mock draft might correctly match up 8-10 players and teams in the first round. Might.

The fun part of the actual draft is finding out where the rookies end up. Thanks to trades I have three of the first 11 picks in my 12-team rookie draft, and I want to know where the running backs and wide receivers I like best will land.

The scary part is one of the players already on your roster having his value damaged by what a team does on draft day. C.J. Anderson looks great right now, but if the Broncos select a running back in the first couple of rounds, he doesn't. Latavius Murray, Lamar Miller and Joique Bell are other players who look good if their teams don't draft a running back early, bad if they do. Same is true at wideout.

In general, I like to draft based on talent more than landing spot. Focusing too much on where guys end up leads to overdrafting the likes of Daniel Thomas and, perhaps, Bishop Sankey.

But you can't ignore both existing roster talent and coaching/team tendencies, either. Mark Ingram landing in New Orleans seems to have worked out OK now, but it took three years for that to be the case. When the Saints selected him, you knew then it wasn't an ideal situation for him. C.J. Spiller (ironically enough, also a Saint now) landing on a team that already had Marshawn Lynch and Fred Jackson looked like a negative, and that's how it turned out.

Here's a recent mock draft from CBS Sportsline. This one is getting the most attention for its rash/bold prediction that the Chargers are so enamored of Marcus Mariota that they're ready to move on from Philip Rivers, dealing him to Tennessee for the rights to select the Oregon passer at No. 2 overall. Wild stuff.

But unlikely as it may seem, many of the most rational mock drafts will be no more accurate. The problem is that building a mock draft is a little bit like making a puzzle without a picture on the box. We know from the outside what various NFL teams seem to need, and we know from watching college football and reading about prospects what seem to be the best players at those positions. We get further information based on what players teams schedule visits with, and then spice things up further with tidbits like "offensive coordinator coached him in college," or "team has a history of selecting tall, fast wide receivers."

Here's another mock from NFL.com. In this one, Mariota slips all the way to No. 7. It's got four defensive players in the top 6 picks. Not so much for fantasy coaches, although note there's five wide receivers and 2 running backs in the top 27 picks. Including the Cowboys selecting Melvin Gordon in the first round, just as the CBS mock predicts. If that happens, Gordon will probably wind up being a second-round pick in fantasy drafts this summer. At worst.

Ultimately, I think mock drafts are fun, whether you're in dynasty leagues or not. Just don't put too much weight on them, trading away or acquiring players based on what somebody thinks might happen. Because, it probably won't.