I’ve scouted the teams in the offseason. I’ve seen them play in the preseason. So I can now take a stab at ordering them 1 thru 32. Packers, Seahawks, Eagles, Broncos, Patriots. Those teams, to me, look like they’re the best. Washington, Tennessee, Tampa Bay and Jacksonville should be bringing up the rear.

I have attached a win-loss record to each team. This is not how I am predicting how they will finish. Instead, that’s how I think they would finish if they played an average, typical schedule. In reality, some teams will play much easier schedules, and thus will finish with better win-loss records. The Saints, Panthers and Texans, for example, will all benefit from playing nine games against South Division teams. I’ve got them projected at 7-8-1, but they’ve got a good chance to go over .500.

On Thursday I’ll post my “All 256”, with a win-loss record for each team after attaching a probability number to all of the regular-season games.

But for pure talent, this is how I rank the teams right now.

NFL POWER RANKINGS
RkTeamWLTPct
1.Green Bay1141.719
2.Seattle1141.719
3.Philadelphia1150.688
4.Denver1150.688
5.New England1150.688
6.Indianapolis1051.656
7.Baltimore1060.625
8.Kansas City970.563
9.Miami970.563
10.Atlanta871.531
11.Buffalo871.531
12.Pittsburgh871.531
13.Minnesota871.531
14.NY Giants880.500
15.San Diego880.500
16.Cincinnati880.500
17.Detroit880.500
18.Dallas880.500
19.Arizona880.500
20.New Orleans781.469
21.Carolina781.469
22.Houston781.469
23.NY Jets781.469
24.St. Louis691.406
25.San Francisco6100.375
26.Cleveland6100.375
27.Oakland6100.375
28.Chicago5101.344
29.Jacksonville5110.313
30.Tampa Bay5110.313
31.Tennessee5110.313
32.Washington4111.281

As usual with this kind of thing, let me know where you think I've gone wrong.

—Ian Allan