My dynasty league rookie draft commences on Friday. It's a 12-team league with PPR scoring, and tight ends get 1.5 points per reception. Each year, on the weekend after the completion of the NFL Draft, we have a three-round draft to select incoming rookies. Here's how I think the draft will go down.

1.01. Ezekiel Elliott, Dallas
1.02. Laquon Treadwell, Minnesota
1.03. Corey Coleman, Cleveland
1.04. Josh Doctson, Washington
1.05. Sterling Shepard, N.Y. Giants
1.06. Derrick Henry, Tennessee

Elliott is a slam dunk as the top pick, probably even before he was drafted by Dallas. That's a given. The next four wide receivers, the order will change slightly from draft to draft, but they're the likely next four picks. Maybe somebody sitting at 1.04 will like Henry or need a running back more (or already has DeMarco Murray and wants Henry more than somebody else).

The fact is that once these six players are gone, you're looking at wide receivers with flaws, running backs who fell to the third or in most cases fourth rounds, and quarterbacks, who no one ever likes to draft. I have picks 1.08 and 1.09 and am trying desperately to trade up, or into 2017.

1.07. Will Fuller, Houston
1.08. Michael Thomas, New Orleans
1.09. Devontae Booker, Denver
1.10. Kenneth Dixon, Baltimore
1.11. Paul Perkins, N.Y. Giants
1.12. Tyler Boyd, Cincinnati

I'm not overly interested in deep-threat Fuller, but his first-round selection ensures he'll be a first-rounder in our draft, too. Up next are a guy who goes to one of the league's best passing offenses and a trio of mid-round running backs. As a C.J. Anderson owner I'll consider Booker, but Dixon looks like the more talented prospect. Perkins has some slop to cut through in New York but he could be a lead back for them by 2017 if not sooner. Boyd is unexciting but need only beat out Brandon LaFell to be the No. 2 wideout there.

2.01. Hunter Henry, San Diego
2.02. Austin Hooper, Atlanta
2.03. Carson Wentz, Philadelphia
2.04. Jordan Howard, Chicago
2.05. Jared Goff, Los Angeles
2.06. Leonte Carroo, Miami
2.07. C.J. Prosise, Seattle
2.08. Kenyan Drake, Miami
2.09. Pharoh Cooper, Los Angeles
2.10. Malcolm Mitchell, New England
2.11. Braxton Miller, Houston
2.12. Mike Thomas, Los Angeles

Quarterbacks never go before the second round in this draft. The exceptions are Andrew Luck and Cam Newton (who I drafted at 1.12 a few year ago). Blake Bortles was a late second-rounder, also drafted by me. I don't know why people don't like quarterbacks, but that's how things always go. Wentz has more fantasy upside than Goff, who should run a conservative offense and doesn't run the ball. In this league, Henry and Hooper could be valuable players. Howard has an outside shot to start in Chicago. Prosise and Drake look like third-down backs, but that gives them some starting potential in this PPR league.

3.01. Tyler Ervin, Houston
3.02. Keith Marshall, Washington
3.03. Paxton Lynch, Denver
3.04. DeAndre Washington, Oakland
3.05. Ricardo Louis, Cleveland
3.06. Alex Collins, Seattle
3.07. Tyler Higbee, Los Angeles
3.08. Moritz Boehringer, Minnesota
3.09. Wendell Smallwood, Philadelphia
3.10. Cardale Jones, Buffalo
3.11. Rashard Higgins, Cleveland
3.12. Thomas Duarte, Miami

The third round will be dominated by young running backs, wide receivers and tight ends who have outside chances to emerge as starters if everything breaks right, but probably won't. Most third-rounders end up being cut over the summer as they flop, get hurt, or get outplayed by undrafted players.

After my draft is complete, I'll post the actual results and we'll see how things went.